All of OlyaBabe's Comments + Replies

short timeline pill

I also found it hard to short-timeline-pill family and friends, and I try when asked about advice for the future but mostly so I feel I am being true to myself, not to convince anyone.
[1]

  1. ^

    It is quite impressive how avoidant people are of this topic, even when trying to philosophise about alternatives to capitalism or deciding what to do when faced with golden handcuffs when their startup gets acqui-hired.

Hamming questions

I hope you won't mind me asking you a few Hamming questions in the spirit of hyper-prioritization. (Feel free to ignore this, it feels like quite aggressive move for me ask, I'd be happy to chat 1:1 too.)

- Why becoming a public intellectual falls under "things that will greatly positively change the world or your personal life"? For you personally and for others.

- Why is it worth to try to be a polymath in 21st century?

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Rafael Ruiz
To answer the two questions: For me as a philosopher, I think this is where I can have greatest impact, compared to writing technical stuff on very niche subjects, which might probably not matter much. Think how the majority of the impact that Peter Singer, Will MacAskill, Toby Ord, Richard Chappell, or Bentham's Bulldog have been a mix of new ideas and public advocacy for them. I could say similar thing about other types of intellectuals like Eliezer Yudkowsky, Nick Bostrom, or Anders Sandberg. I think polymathy is also where the comparative advantage often lies for a philosopher. Particularly for me, I'm not so good at technical topics that I would greatly excel at a niche thing such as population ethics. I can, however, draw from other fields and learn how particular moral intuitions might be unreliable, for example. And what might feel like a advocating for a relatively small change in moral beliefs (e.g. what we do about insect suffering, or the potential suffering of digital minds) could change future societies greatly. Yet I don't disregard specializing into one thing. I'm currently working on my PhD, which a very specialized project. And I would give very different advice if I was working on AI safety directly. If that were the case, maybe digging deep into a topic to become a world expert or have a breakthrough might be the best way to go.

Fast vs Slow


I find it interesting that you feel like promoting of the fast world mindset might be rude or cause a backlash because to me that feels like a mainstream view. A lot of advice on how to cope with AI is essentially equivalent to "you need to try harder", maybe with some qualifiers of what that might exactly look like.[1]

I'd say that I am hyper-prioretising Slow World because it is what makes life worth living. And if there is not much life left, it is even more important to have good experiences while it is possible?

I don’t care much about thing

... (read more)
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Rafael Ruiz
RE: "I am curious, why do you care about Big Things without small things? Are Big Things not underpinned by values of small everyday things?" Perhaps it has to do with the level of ambition. Let's talk about a particular value to narrow down the discussion. Some people see "caring for all sentient beings" as an extension of empathy. Some others see it as a logical extension of a principle of impartiality or equality for all. I think I am more in this second camp. I don't care about invertebrate welfare, for example, because I am particularly empathetic towards them. Most people find bugs to be a bit icky, particularly under a magnifying glass, which turns off their empathy. Rather, they are suffering sentient beings, which means that the same arguments for why we should care about people (and their wellbeing/interests/preferences) also apply to these invertebrates. And caring about, say, invertebrate welfare, requires a use of reason towards impartiality that might sometimes make you de-prioritize friends and family. Secondly, I also have a big curiosity about understanding the universe, society, etc. which makes me feel like I'm wasting my time in social situations of friends and family when the conversation topics are a bit trivial. As I repeat a bit throughout the post, I realize I might be a bit of an psychological outlier here, but I hope people can also see why this perspective might be appealing. Most people are compartimenalizing their views on AI existential risk to a level that I'm not sure makes sense.

I think I am personally

Living like we only have 5 years left

(and I'd love others to embrace it). However, I am making choices that are different from your own, so I guess I put some of them here in the comments to highlight that being onboard with the principle will yield different results based one's preferences.

So here is me putting money where my mouth is[1]:

  • having kids
  • treating spending time with friends as last opportunity ever
    • this usually results in making effort to fly to meet them
    • offering to pay friends and family to visit me (symmetric with one abo
... (read more)

Hi Rafael, thanks for the post!

I have a few thoughts to share, I will post them as separate comments to help structure discussion.

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OlyaBabe
short timeline pill I also found it hard to short-timeline-pill family and friends, and I try when asked about advice for the future but mostly so I feel I am being true to myself, not to convince anyone. [1] 1. ^ It is quite impressive how avoidant people are of this topic, even when trying to philosophise about alternatives to capitalism or deciding what to do when faced with golden handcuffs when their startup gets acqui-hired.
2
OlyaBabe
Hamming questions I hope you won't mind me asking you a few Hamming questions in the spirit of hyper-prioritization. (Feel free to ignore this, it feels like quite aggressive move for me ask, I'd be happy to chat 1:1 too.) - Why becoming a public intellectual falls under "things that will greatly positively change the world or your personal life"? For you personally and for others. - Why is it worth to try to be a polymath in 21st century?
1
OlyaBabe
Fast vs Slow I find it interesting that you feel like promoting of the fast world mindset might be rude or cause a backlash because to me that feels like a mainstream view. A lot of advice on how to cope with AI is essentially equivalent to "you need to try harder", maybe with some qualifiers of what that might exactly look like.[1] I'd say that I am hyper-prioretising Slow World because it is what makes life worth living. And if there is not much life left, it is even more important to have good experiences while it is possible? I am curious, why do you care about Big Things without small things? Are Big Things not underpinned by values of small everyday things? 1. ^ That was my impression for example from "Planning a career in the age of A(G)I - w Luke Drago, Josh Landes & Ben Todd" event in April.
3
OlyaBabe
I think I am personally Living like we only have 5 years left (and I'd love others to embrace it). However, I am making choices that are different from your own, so I guess I put some of them here in the comments to highlight that being onboard with the principle will yield different results based one's preferences. So here is me putting money where my mouth is[1]: * having kids * treating spending time with friends as last opportunity ever * this usually results in making effort to fly to meet them * offering to pay friends and family to visit me (symmetric with one above but less conventional) * getting driver's license with the expectation that it would only be meaningful to use for a few years not a lifetime * saying what I think and writing it down publicly, including writing these comments now * trying to be less risk-averse in general I guess I also have an underlying intuition that we are about to enter the period of turmoil, so I am trying to take advantage of functioning infrastructure like commercial flights or mortgages while it lasts. 1. ^ and I guess putting mouth back there too?

Meta: below is a very non-generous view of 80k one-on-one career advising (kinda bitter to be honest). I will probably be raising points that the 80k team thought about over the years and decided against for a good reason but I have not seen them publicly discussed. I will be very happy to be wrong about this.

To sum up: 80k one-on-one career advising has a small negative effect on the world

Why

  • 80k is the place to go for career advice (with low capacity) making it harder for new organizations/projects/initiatives to launch in this space.
     
  • A month-long pe
... (read more)

It is extremely upsetting for people to apply and get turned down, especially if they found 80k materials at some emotional time (releasing they are not satisfied with their current job or studies). It is very hard to not interpret this as "you are not good enough".

I am so sad that we are causing this. It is really tough to make yourself vulnerable to strangers and reach out for help, only to have your request rebuffed. That’s particularly hard when it feels like a judgement on someone’s worth, and more particularly on their ability to help others. And ... (read more)

By focusing on people "for whom you’ll have useful things to say", you talk to people who do not need additional resources (like guidance or introductions) for increasing their impact. The contrafactual impact is low. For example, testimonials on the website include PhD Student in Machine Learning at Cambridge and the President of Harvard Law School Effective Altruism.

I don’t quite agree here. I was counting ‘additional resources’ like guidance and introductions as ‘things to say’. So focusing on people for whom we have useful things to say should incre... (read more)

A month-long period of reviewing the application is prohibitive and disappointing.

I agree this is too long, and I’m sad that it was actually longer than this at times. Right now I’m mostly managing to review them within a week, and almost always within 2 weeks. I wouldn’t want to promise to always be able to do this, but it’s much easier now we have a team of people working on advising.

I have an impression that 80k accepted a long time ago that that wait time will just have to be pretty long.

I'm actually really keen to avoid us having long wait time... (read more)

Thanks for sharing your view. It’s useful for us to get an overall sense of whether others think our work is useful in order to sense check our views and continue figuring out whether this is the right thing for us to focus our time on. It's also important to hear detail about what the problems with it are so that we can try to address them. I’ll respond to your points in separate comments so that they’re easier to parse and engage with.

I can second feeling pretty heavy-hearted after my rejection, and really like the idea of vetting a crowd of volunteers. A similar idea would be to offer rejected people to share the info from their form, plus maybe their most important questions, with people who agreed to maybe take a look, e.g. via the EA Hub, where you could also filter relevant background. Or alternatively into a private group like „AI Safety Career Discussion“. I’m one of the shy people who would probably never do something like that themselves, but if it were an „official“ and recommended thing from 80,000Hours it would feel somehow much less scary.

Very Bad Wizards: The One with Peter Singer (released in April, 2020)

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EdoArad
I like that podcast a lot! I suggest to skip directly to 31:20, the second part where Singer comes in, unless you are interested in half an hour of discussion about typography :)