All of Rasool's Comments + Replies

In the UK at least, they are especially desperate for donors who are male and/or from an ethnic minority background

https://www.anthonynolan.org/help-save-a-life/join-stem-cell-register

2
Silas Strawn
3mo
Thanks for providing this! I've just added it to the TLDR & end section

Seconding Strong Female Protagonist, and noting that it is also available as a printed graphic novel for those who prefer to read offline

Oh for sure, and I gladly donated.

I just didn't want this to turn into a whole conversation about effectiveness, but rather the power of stories

Someone accidentally donated $15,000 instead of $150 to their neighbour's charity in Bangladesh. Before they could get a refund they were inundated with pictures and videos from the grateful recipients.

In addition to then donating $1,500 rather than the $150 as originally planned, they also told the story of their blunder on reddit, which went viral and caused ~3000 people to donate ~$100,000

Warm fuzzies galore

7
Guy Raveh
10mo
Not necessarily just warm fuzzies. Bangladesh is one of the places where hunger is still prevalent.

Looking forward to this!

While I do like spacing things out, 1 month between posts seems like a long time to me

1[anonymous]1y
Thanks for your feedback Rasool! We'll take it into consideration :)

Thanks for sharing! This is exactly the kind of thing I'd love to see more of on the forum

You mentioned starting ADHD meds? I'd be very interested in reading about the process leading up to that, if you feel like sharing

Do you have a view on using LLMs as therapists as suggested here?

2
lynettebye
1y
Re using LLMs as therapists, I'm more skeptical than Kat is, but not by much. Like, maybe LLMs can replace 20% or 50% of therapy right now, not 100%?  My best experiences with therapists were when they could hold threads over several sessions and challenge my blindspots. I expect it will be easier to ignore an LLM telling you something you don't want to hear, and the LLM probably won't be able to hold me accountable for doing my homework :P  On the other hand, free on-demand therapy! That's huge! If you've already done therapy before and more-or-less know what you want out of a session, then this seems like it could be a pretty good substitute for ongoing sessions.  Right now, I have a lot of uncertainty that I expect to narrow as I hear more examples of people using the LLMs for therapy. 
2
lynettebye
1y
I have a couple blog posts in the works on ADHD! 

The "poorly identified fiat" did tickle me

Thanks for the summary!

You mention that ~9% of Trial Pledgers have gone on to take the GWWC Pledge, do you know what the other 91% did (eg. extend their trial, stop entirely, commit to a smaller pledge like OFTW)?

Amazing work! And great write-up

This is potentially very exciting idea! Some thoughts:

  • How does this compare to running a fundraiser for an effective charity (for example via GWWC like this one)
    • Or possibly running 3 fundraisers simultaneously to get people thinking about comparing charities
  • You are kind of imposing a burden on people, like if I were to receive this coupon, I'd have a deadline to go and do some stuff, which I might not end up doing, and then feel guilty about
  • I wonder about the privacy angle, I guess people's choices here are known to the organiser?
  • The viral effect is interesting but how will it be measured?
1
Wayne
1y
Hi Rasool, thanks for your questions! 1. I see Giving Coupons as a mechanism for fundraising. As opposed to traditional fundraising ("Please give us money"), Giving Coupons aims to be more participative ("I'm giving money to charity, help me decide which one!"). Giving Coupons tries to introduce a social/interactive element to catalyse charitable giving. 2. I think you are right that it is a burden. I think most fundraising leverages on some amount of guilt implicitly ("Please donate, or else these people would suffer"). But all Giving Coupons is asking you to do is to go to a website and pick a charity, and even if you discard the coupon, no money is actually "wasted", the donor can simply redistribute the coupon when it expires. 3. On privacy, the people's choices in aggregate are necessarily known to the organisers. But individual choices don't have to be revealed. Currently, coupons are serialised, but donors do not see choices on a coupon level. Alternatively, coupons may not have to be serialised, assuming coupon receivers can be trusted to only submit once. 4. One way to measure the viral effect is to count how many people start campaigns after receiving coupons. Another way is to measure the number of campaigns started divided by the number of coupons redeemed, for any given time period. Optimistically, we will know it's viral when the number of campaigns grows exponentially.

I'd be interested in seeing your comments David!

That link to the The Harvard Grant longitudinal study is dead, and isn't on archive.org, but this is the study's homepage, an Atlantic piece ($), and a TED talk, by the director of the study

1
Dave Cortright
1y
Thanks for the info! I fixed the broken link to Eric Barker's article on the Grant Study. Dr. Robert Waldinger—the current director of the study—just published a book called The Good Life, which I recommend if you want a deeper dive into the stories behind the data. And here's an unpaywalled version Atlantic article from 2009 on the study.
Answer by RasoolApr 05, 20232
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Very interesting question!

I don't have that much to add, it seems like you've got a pretty good handle on the different options available. Though a couple of things:

  • That DAF post you linked to is a bit out of date (I keep meaning to write an updated version!), since the CAF DAF now charges 1.2-1.5% on balances up to £100,000 (and less above that), with a minimum balance of £10,000-£25,000, so is a more viable option even if you aren't a mega-donor
  • ISAs are still a ridiculous vehicle, you can put £20,000 in per year, and be exempt from capital gains, stamp d
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2
ClimateDoc
10mo
Just thought I'd note that I checked again and the CAF DAF's minimum balance has gone up to £25k and has a minimum fee of £600/ann.: https://www.cafonline.org/individual-trust-supporting-documents 
1
ClimateDoc
1y
That's very useful to know about that DAF, thanks. ISAs are a nice tax break, but only save the capital gains tax, so not as beneficial as Gift Aid.

It was a pleasure! I especially liked the supplementary spreadsheets though I didn't get round to including them in my list

Since this post argues for expanding our moral circle and advocates for non-human welfare, I choose The Humane League.

Thanks for your donation!

3
Luke Freeman
1y
Done!   P.S. Speaking of spreadsheets... did you notice the final budget line item for ABLE?

I'm super excited by this! The figures around stickiness and new money are very promising

P.S. Love the handwritten notes!

Not to be confused with https://tythe.org/ which is another EA-ish effective giving charity :)

There are two kinds of taxes - income tax and national insurance - and donating to charity only reduces your income tax[1]

I talk a bit about donating through your payroll vs via Gift Aid with some examples in my post here.

To add to Raoul's point, the government provides a benefit whether you donate via your payroll, or through your post-tax earnings, but donating via payroll:

  • Is easier for you, especially if you are a high earner, since you don't have to apply for your tax rebate
  • Is easier for the charity, they don't have to worry about Gift Aid
  1. ^

    If yo

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People might like the slides from the Stanford University CS 007: Personal Finance for Engineers

It's criminal that this post doesn't have more attention, and I assumed there'd be a heated competition but here's my 19:

  1. Playful alteration of a famous quote by Jeremy Bentham.
  2. "disfingerment"
  3. Comparing the number of portraits to the number of cat videos on the internet
  4. Comparison of solving a Rubik's Cube blindfolded
  5. The inclusion of data "paralysis" and "divination"
  6. The mention of Hogwarts
  7. Holding séances with deceased experts.
  8. The suggestion of using a brain computer interface to consult with ChatGPT
  9. The idea of being prepared to deny everything
  10. The mention of t
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2
Luke Freeman
1y
Thanks Rasool! Well done spotting some of these, hope you didn't lose too much of your weekend ;) Which of these do you want $38 donated to?

This Colab notebook, is user-friendly and free, and combines Whisper with some other models to do transcription and diarisation.

You mentioned, that you were struggling to get something similar working with recordings of 20 minutes, which I haven't tried, but I can confirm it works great for recordings of 45m+

You didn't mention Portraits of Animals Welfare Society (PAWS) who are also desperate for funding. They believe that our circle of compassion should extend beyond just portraits of humans to include non-human animals as well

Cool thanks, I did not know about that first one.

I note that that is different to how it works on substack comments, where clicking to the left of a comment collapses the parent comment rather than scrolling to it like here

2
JP Addison
1y
I did not know that, that's useful.

One feature I really like on forums like Hacker News is the ability to traverse comments by having options to jump to a comment's parent, or next or previous sibling.

When you are deep in a gnarly comment thread, I find it useful to be able to hop up a couple of levels and then minimise a comment and its children

This is what comments looks like on Hacker News for example:

4
JP Addison
1y
You can do both of these things. You can click to the left of a comment to get to the parent comment, and then collapse by clicking on the minus icon next to the username.

On https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/allPosts, clicking on a shortform expands it, but there is no way to unexpand/contract it

This is not the case with topic page edit and discussion, where clicking on the topic title toggles between expanding it and unexpanding it

Ideally shortforms could be toggled unexpanded in a similar way

Oop yes you are correct, I wrote that in haste, let me make an edit

You can set your browser to not let websites choose their own fonts, and to use your settings instead[1].

Not only do you get your own font preferences but it is quicker (no more requests off to Google Fonts or other places to download custom fonts) and more private (no more sending personal info to Google Fonts who get which has caused publishers to be fined from time to time for not being GDPR-compliant)

 

  1. ^

    In Firefox, go to about:config in a new tab, then set browser.display.use_document_fonts to 0

2
Jeff Kaufman
1y
I don't believe Google Fonts has been fined for GDPR violations? Are you think thinking about European publishers being fined for using Google Fonts, because this meant sending user IP addresses to an American company?

Have you looked at EA Anywhere? You might be able to set up something up through that

2
Madhav Malhotra
1y
This is certainly a useful resource for those who live in areas without the effective altruism groups around them! Thank you for sharing :-)

I just came across an interesting (and not too long) article on this point. Quoting the juicy parts:

In 1996, Dr. Jochem Hoyer, a well-known German surgeon and head of a transplantation unit at a university hospital was told by a colleague, “It is easy for you as a transplant surgeon to praise living donors as long as it is NOT you who has to donate, but someone else.”3 Hoyer then voluntarily donated a kidney to an unknown recipient on the Munich waiting list4 with the idea that this would make a “very strong statement.”5

His action led to proposals in Germa

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Great interview! I particularly liked the parts about self-signalling and moral offsetting

I look forward to reading others in this series!

Couple of things:

  • I get the impression you recorded your conversation and then typed it up, is that recording in a shareable format? People like to listen to posts, this might be (or already has been) converted to audio via nonlinear but it might be nice to hear the original
  • Minor thing but I'd prefer the current speaker to be in bold type (ie. Amber: Tell me about what you’re doing. Tyler: I work for The Humane League.) to make it easier to distinguish a change in speaker

Same general principles apply in the UK - a simple guide is here: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZwTrykpvztrF5FQQL/how-to-set-up-a-uk-organisation-limited-company-version

The link from linkposts like this one, don't work, I assume because the link needs to be prefixed with https://

Can this be added automatically if it is missing, or do linkposts need to go via https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/out?url=

Ah gotcha, re: the pay cut thing then yes 100%, not least because employers also pay national insurance of 13.8%!

So your employer is paying 13.8%, then you are paying 40% income tax, and 2% employee national insurance.

And gift aid / payroll giving is pretty good, but not that good!

Interesting initiative!

Some scattered thoughts:

  • You might like Anton Howes' blog, where he discusses invention and progress ~1500-1800. There could be some interesting lessons as people are considering ways of incentivising progress like prizes and impact certificates
  • I often think about why electricity didn't immediately revolutionise manufacturing (spoiler: people had to shift their mindset away from thinking of one giant steam engine powering every machine, to having small electric motors at each machine that could be controlled individually)
  • There are som
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  • Some interesting discussion at taking a pay cut when working in something directly here.
  • I think you are mistaken on how Gift Aid / payroll giving works in the UK (your footnote 4), it only has an effect once you are a higher rate or additional rate taxpayer. I wrote some examples up here. As a basic rate taxpayer you don't get any benefit - only the charity does.
  • My impression is that people within EA already defer too much in their donation choices and so should be spending more time thinking about how and where to give, what is being missed by Givewell/OP
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1
Tristan Cook
1y
Thanks for the link to your post!  I'm a bit confused about where I'm mistaken. I wanted to claim that:   (ignoring payroll giving or claiming money back from HMRC, as you discuss in yoir post) taking a salary cut (while at the 40% marginal tax rate)  is more efficient (at getting money to your employer) than receiving taxed income than donating it (with gift aid) to  your employer Is this right? Fair point. I think that because I'm somewhat more excited about one person doing a 100 hour investigation rather than 10 people doing 10 hour investigations and I would still push for people to enter small-medium sized a donor lotteries (which is arguably a form of deferral).

For FOI requests in the UK, take a look at https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/

It makes submitting and tracking requests simple - and also public, so everyone can see the outcome

(Semi-serious), since we care about the long-term future, denote years with a 10,000 year digit, so 02023 instead of 2023, like they do at longnow.org

You can subscribe to other users' new posts from their profile, but I would like to be able to subscribe to users' new comments which I don't see a way to do

Answer by RasoolFeb 01, 20232
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I think this could be useful, a couple of things come to mind:

  • People weigh all those different metrics differently, so there would need to be a way for people to search/filter/combine the different metrics in weird and wonderful ways
  • It would need to be rigorously kept up to date as the organisations listed grow and change

Another totally free alternative is OBS studio, though it's possibly more featureful and less user-friendly than Loom

Ctrl+K is a pretty well-known shortcut, for example on Google Docs, and works here too

1
Matt Goodman
1y
Thanks, I didn't know that one!

Loved this! And congratulations on your first forum post!

One thing I like to think about with experiments is that they can help motivate you to try new things that seem daunting. Rather than something like: "2023 is going to be my year of going to the gym / going out more / learning French", you can rephrase it as, "I am going to experiment with going to the gym solidly for the next 4 weeks and then re-evaluate".

Not only does it make things more concrete and achievable, but there is also no way to "fail" - since all you are doing is testing a hypothesis

1
Alvin Ånestrand
1y
Interesting perspective! When I wrote it I thought mostly about saving time, but I also believe it is good for motivation and handling the sunk cost fallacy.
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