A one year review (published June 2025)

I tried draft/auction leagues, and while the draft/auction itself was incredibly fun, I found that there was never much action afterwards, trade offers were always treated suspiciously (adverse selection!)

And in regular FPL you still have to consider cost-effectiveness, consensus thinking, and have the same constraints as everyone else playing - which I like

FPL? Join our (pitifully small) minileague: 6dqpgs

Yikes

At the end of the book, Jensen berates his biographer for asking too many questions about AI safety. In Stephen Witt’s final interview with him, Jensen unleashed “twenty minutes” of “uncontained, omni-directional, and wildly inappropriate” shouting. The anger was sparked when Witt showed him a 1964 Arthur C. Clarke video predicting future AI systems that will “out-think their makers.” Witt asked whether humanity was prepared for the potential risks that could arrive in such a world. Jensen was not happy:

“This cannot be a ridiculous sci-fi story,” he said. He gestured to his frozen PR reps at the end of the table. “Do you guys understand? I didn’t grow up on a bunch of sci-fi stories, and this is not a sci-fi movie. These are serious people doing serious work!” he said. “This is not a freaking joke! This is not a repeat of Arthur C. Clarke. I didn’t read his fucking books. I don’t care about those books! It’s not– we’re not a sci-fi repeat! This company is not a manifestation of Star Trek! We are not doing those things! We are serious people, doing serious work. And – it’s just a serious company, and I’m a serious person, just doing serious work.”

Another horse analogy from an Anthropic researcher:

https://x.com/andy_l_jones/status/1998060552565002721

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1998060552565002721.html

Elon Musk strongly agrees with this on the Dwarkesh podcast:

Elon Musk
…
I somewhat disagree with the AI companies that are C-corp or B-corp trying to generate profit as much, as possible or revenue as much as possible, saying they’re labs.
They’re not labs. A lab is a sort of quasi-communist thing at universities. They’re corporations. Let me see your incorporation documents. Oh, okay. You’re a B or C-corp or whatever.
…
Dwarkesh Patel

What’s xAI’s plan to stay on the compute ramp up that all the labs are doing right now? The labs are on track to spend over $50-200 billion.

Elon Musk

You mean the corporations? The labs are at universities and they’re moving like a snail.

Dwarkesh Patel

They’re not spending $50 billion.

Elon Musk

You mean the revenue maximizing corporations… that call themselves labs.
…
John Collison

What will xAI’s business be? Is it going to be consumer, enterprise? What’s the mix of those things going to be? Is it going to be similar to other labs—

Elon Musk

You’re saying “labs”. Corporations.

I want to signal-boost this conversation between you and @Wei Dai (and others), and see whether you have any further thoughts on the matter

Recent piece on this you might like:

https://davidoks.blog/p/gdp-numbers-in-poor-countries-are

A good recent piece on this:

https://davidoks.blog/p/a-lot-of-population-numbers-are-fake

Talking about Nigeria, Papua New Guinea, and the problems with satellite data