William the Kiwi

29 karmaJoined Mar 2023Working (0-5 years)


Hi I'm William and I am new to the Effective Altruism community.

William comes from a country in the Pacific called New Zealand. He was educated at the University of Otago where he received a first class honours degree in chemistry. He is currently traveling through Europe to learn more about different cultures and ideas.

How others can help me

William is interested in learning more about Artificial Intelligence and the magnitude to which it poses an existential risk to humanity.

How I can help others

William is new to Effective Altruism but is willing to learn ways in which he can aid humanity.


Hi Mo, thanks for the feedback.

  1. Good thought, I've cross-posted it to my account there.
  2. This post was spurred by a conversation I had about the upper limit of AI intelligence and the fact that it was likely very far above all humans combined. This is meant as, like you said, a pretty unobjectionable support for my then assumed conclusion. The conversion was heavily influenced by Cotra's Bioanchors report.
  3. I was estimating the brains computation ability very roughly. I guessed that there would be more detailed estimations already done, but would take time to read through and understand their premises. I'll read through the document when I have some time.
  4. These two look interesting to read.
  5. Anders Sandberg is an interesting person. I speculated someone had done calculations similar to mine, I'm not surprised that he is one of such people.

Yea, I found him to be a fascinating person when I talked to him at EAGx Warsaw.

I'm initially sceptical of getting 40% of the mass-energy out of, well, anything. Perhaps I would benefit from reading more on black holes. 

However I would in principle agree with the idea that if black holes are feasible power outputers, this would increase the theoretical maximum computation rate. 

GPT4 is clearly above the median human when it comes to a range of exams. Do we have examples of GPT4's comparison to the median human in non-exam like conditions?

I would agree that "utopia in our lifetime" or "extinction" seems like a false dichotomy. What makes you say that you predict the bulk of the probability lies somewhere in the middle?

Hi Chris thanks for reaching out. Obviously things with the world aren't ok, it seems insane that every country is staring down a massive national security risk and they haven't done much about it.

How is movement building going?

I agree with most of your conclusions in this post.  I feel uncomfortable. I'll write more once I have processed some of my emotions and can think in a more clear manner.

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