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Join us for a discussion of Philip Tetlock's "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction". Professor Tetlock has spent 40 years as a social scientist in order to figure out how good humans really are at foreseeing the future. He shows that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course.

We'll be discussing the book in full, but if you don't get a chance to finish the book before the group, feel free to join anyway!

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