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I am hoping to strengthen my zoomed-out picture of the current strategic situation related to AI. I am very interested in finding documents/posts/write-ups that attempt to layout important real-world, strategic considerations.

Ideally such documents would include:

  • information on important organizations and individuals
  • contemporary political issues/views related to AI (things like poll data, statements by key politicians, speculations/info about relevant regulatory authorities and legislative bodies)
  • a collection of the existing plans/strategies for making AI go well (eg. OpenAI's plan, John Wentworth's plan, and Holden Karnofsky's most important century and implications of most important century)
  • other relevant strategy considerations (local win conditions, current battle-lines, bottlenecks)

I am likely going to attempt to write such an outline myself in order to try to identify gaps in my reasoning/clarify my key uncertainties, but I wanted to see if anyone knew about some existing strategic overviews with that level of depth/real-world information.




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I've got a number of literature reviews and overview reports on this coming out soon, can share you on a draft if of interest. See also the primer / overview at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/isTXkKprgHh5j8WQr/strategic-perspectives-on-transformative-ai-governance

Thank you so much! This is exactly the sort of thing I am looking for. I'm glad there is high quality work like this being done to advance strategic clarity surrounding TAI and I appreciate you sharing your draft.

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I'll be interested to see your outline if you share it.

On public opinion polling, see https://wiki.aiimpacts.org/doku.php?id=responses_to_ai:public_opinion_on_ai:surveys_of_public_opinion_on_ai:surveys_of_us_public_opinion_on_ai. There haven't been many public surveys on AI recently.

Sure thing! I don't think it'll be all that polished or comprehensive since it is mostly intended to help me straighten out my reasoning, but I would be more than happy to share it. 

Thank you for the survey info! I was favorably surprised by some of those results.

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