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Burnout and depression in AI safety usually don’t happen because of overwork.

From what I've seen, it usually comes from a lack of hope.

Working on something you don’t think will work and if it doesn’t work, you’ll die? That's a recipe for misery.

How do you fix AI safety hopelessness? 

First off, rationally assess the likelihood of your work actually helping with AI safety.

If you rationally believe that it’s too unlikely to actually help with AI safety, well, then, stop working on it!

In this case, your feelings are an important signal to listen to.

Now, if you think your work is high expected value but the likelihood of payoff is low, it’s quite common to find this dispiriting.

Humans were not evolved to be motivated by expected value calculations.

Here are some different ways to get different parts of your brain on board with a high risk high reward strategy:

Pick a strategy that you enjoy the process of. Then, even if it doesn’t work. . . at least you had a good time!

If you’re only working for the outcome and the outcome looks bleak, that’s very demotivating. If you’re working for the outcome and the process, then even if the outcome looks bad, you can still happily work.

Understanding the cause of your unhappiness can help you avoid certain strategies that are unlikely to work

For example, a lot of people think that the solution to them feeling bad is to take some time off.

I can't tell you how many people I know who have then taken a few weeks or months off and then continue to have exactly the same problem.

Because the problem was not overwork.

The problem was something else and the problem was still there when they came back.

If your problem is hopelessness, then exercise, meditation, or meds are unlikely to fix it either. Even though all of those techniques are good for a lot of different causes of depression or burnout.

Of course, hopelessness is also a symptom of depression/burnout, so it’s important to try to do some differential diagnosis.

Is hopelessness causing depression or is depression causing hopelessness?

Here are a couple of ways to tell:

Ask yourself: do you feel hopeless about other things too? Or is it specific to Al safety?

If you feel hopeless about most plans, even those outside of AI safety, then it is likely that your hopelessness is a symptom and not the cause.

(Pro tip: you can actually do this for any different type of mood. For example if you are feeling mad at somebody, scan your environment and see if you're feeling mad at most things. If so, it’s probably not about the person, but some underlying mood caused by something else.)

Look at the timeline of the hopelessness and your mental health.

If there are periods where you were depressed but had hope about AI safety or vice versa, then they are likely not related to each other.

For example, if you have put low odds on anything working in AI safety for a long time and your mental health was fine, it’s likely your mental health issues are coming from something else. It's worth investigating other hypotheses.

Set aside time each day to focus on visualizing the scenarios where your plan does work.

Brains by default focus on the bad. Even it out by deliberately thinking about the positive possibilities.

Some specific ways you can actually do this instead of just nodding along then continuing on as usual: 

  1. Set an alarm to do this for 1-3 minutes a day. 
  2. Connect this with an existing habit (e.g. imagine positive ASI outcomes while brushing your teeth)
  3. Leave a notebook open on your dinner table with a pen. Whenever you sit down for a meal, spend a minute or two writing out positive scenarios and/or reading through previous entries. 

Surround yourself with people who are hopeful.

Epistemology in humans is fundamentally social, and if you are surrounded by people who feel hopeless, it will be very very difficult for you to feel hopeful.

Don't just abandon your hopeless friends. Imagine how that would feel if your friends abandoned you like that! Not to mention, just because they're hopeless and it's rubbing off on you, does not mean that they don’t add much else to your life, and vice versa.

However, you can try to at least add more people who are hopeful around you.

You might also want to consider asking your hopeless friends to talk about their hopelessness less around you, at least until you yourself have achieved some level of hope. Sharing feelings of hopelessness can feel good in the short term, but it is unlikely to pull you out of it.

Consume inspirational biographies/biopics.

You are the average of the five people you spend the most time with. If you “spend time” with people who persevered against great odds and won, you will start internalizing the same mindset.

Remember - people have done much harder things that seemed impossible at the time.

I recommend Amazing Grace, the biopic about the man who abolished the slave trade.

Of course, just like everything in psychology, there is no sure file fire one size fits all solution to hopelessness

The general principle though is to keep systematically trying different techniques until you find something that works for you in your situation. You might have to try a lot before you find one that does the trick.

But as long as you keep trying, it’s very likely you’ll eventually find something that works.

If you liked this article, here are a few other articles you might like:

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