Andrew Gelman, who tends to get a lot of things right, has written a post about how they consistently fail at modeling and shrug off peer review on the basis of having so much Gates Foundation money. C19P, which has an excellent modelling record, has a more detailed critique of IHME's failures.
I haven't delved deep into this, but assuming it's correct that IHME has badly bungled covid predictions and ignored corrections on the basis that they're only accountable to Gates Foundation, that's a serious problem for civilizational disease response. Can we say with a little more confidence whether this happened? If so, are there people among us who could bring the matter the the Gates Foundation's attention? I would expect there are people in our circles a small number of trust-hops from relevant GF people.
Is anybody already on this?