I'm sharing this here since being agentic has become somewhat of a meme in EA circles. Despite its meme status, I find the idea very helpful and empowering, though difficult to put into action.

This is written as a personal self-affirmation — my hope is that by writing it up and sharing it publicly, I will internalize these words more and act on them. In the context of this post, being agentic means being more ambitious, doing more things out in the world, putting myself out there more, and tolerating higher levels of rejection, discomfort, and failure.

  • Your life can become much better or worse based on your actions and, more generally, the randomness of the universe.
  • Nobody knows what your talents, ambitions, and knowledge base are like except you.
  • There is no divine providence for your life. Just being kind, talented, or good at your job won’t provide you with opportunities or good outcomes — good outcomes don’t just happen automatically because you wish them to; you need to actually go out and create the opportunity for yourself. If you were famous or the child of a billionaire, perhaps people would proactively think of opportunities to bring to you. However, since you are not, it is crucial that you advocate for yourself. If you don’t show the world your talents or share with individuals what you are seeking, others won’t know what you have to offer or are searching for.
  • You have a distribution problem. If you have twice the network and outreach, you’d probably have twice the amount of goodness in outcomes/opportunities. Actually, likely more because these good things compound and make the next thing more likely.
  • Ask people for ambitious, specific requests for support rather than just hoping for general support. When you make a general request, it requires the person to brainstorm all possible ways they could help, which is too broad. In contrast, specific requests narrow down their thought process and reverse the onus so they need to come up with a reason why they cannot help, making it counter-intuitively more likely for them to offer meaningful support. If they can't meet the specific request, they often think of an alternative solution they can provide, which they wouldn't have considered under a general plea for support. It may feel uncomfortable to make these asks, but it typically isn’t costly for someone to say no or ignore you.
  • Many world-renowned superstars only became recognized late in life, or in some cases, posthumously. Just because you feel like a 'nobody' now doesn't mean you aren't of the same calibre, or that you won't become a 'somebody' later once your initiatives take off. Imagine the confidence with which you’d pursue your next initiative if you were already widely recognized.
  • Most great outcomes come from a heavy-tailed distribution, where the benefit from an initiative truly succeeding is orders of magnitude more beneficial than a minor win. This means that you actually don’t need that many things to go well for all of your efforts to be worth it. Potentially, one or two good things will bring all the goodness and future opportunities you need for the rest of your life. Even if you’ve received a lot of friction and failure so far, the positive outcomes from these tail distribution events still make nearly all of your agentic actions highly positive EV.
  • Nobody think about you very much. Nobody will remember or care about you doing something that doesn't succeed, or you reaching out to them, even if they ignore you multiple times, you posting about something too many times online, you requesting help, advice, or to attend some event, etc. For the most part, it honestly doesn’t matter — and when it counts, you will still be at square one with these people.
  • Unless you are famous, most worthwhile initiatives need to go through the moat of low status because they require you either being bad at something or vulnerable, so if you feel like whatever you are about to do is low status, embrace it, because this is often a sign it's worth doing, not that it's harmful for you.
  • The people and opportunities around you likely are not the people who are best poised to recognize your talents, so it isn’t a negative sign that they don’t fully appreciate what you are working on or recognize your skills — it would be pretty unusual if they did.
  • Probably the people and opportunities that will be most compatible with you are outside of your current network and community. You will only gain exposure to the types of people and opportunities, who appreciate your value most, and/or are most compatible with you, by putting yourself out there in their orbit. 
  • By putting more things out in public, it gives more people awareness of what you are doing, what your skills are like, and what you are interested in. The more the public can see this, the more people will think to include you for future opportunities.
  • There's a lot of randomness in what turns out to be successful (versus just being a measure of quality), and you probably aren't perfectly calibrated on which of your efforts or projects will hit the mark. So, it's better to give yourself more shots at success than to wait for what you think is your absolute best work or initiative.
  • You only get feedback and enough repetitions to actually improve at things by doing and trying a lot of things in the real world. You will better understand what you are good at and what you don’t like by actually trying these things and getting feedback from others.
  • You can create a lot of value for other people by proposing fun things for you to do together, hosting events, and helping build community. Make sure to consider this value as part of your equation.
  • The projects you hope to accomplish can make the world a better place. Make sure to consider this value as part of your equation.
Comments


No comments on this post yet.
Be the first to respond.
Curated and popular this week
Ben_West🔸
 ·  · 1m read
 · 
> Summary: We propose measuring AI performance in terms of the length of tasks AI agents can complete. We show that this metric has been consistently exponentially increasing over the past 6 years, with a doubling time of around 7 months. Extrapolating this trend predicts that, in under a decade, we will see AI agents that can independently complete a large fraction of software tasks that currently take humans days or weeks. > > The length of tasks (measured by how long they take human professionals) that generalist frontier model agents can complete autonomously with 50% reliability has been doubling approximately every 7 months for the last 6 years. The shaded region represents 95% CI calculated by hierarchical bootstrap over task families, tasks, and task attempts. > > Full paper | Github repo Blogpost; tweet thread. 
 ·  · 2m read
 · 
For immediate release: April 1, 2025 OXFORD, UK — The Centre for Effective Altruism (CEA) announced today that it will no longer identify as an "Effective Altruism" organization.  "After careful consideration, we've determined that the most effective way to have a positive impact is to deny any association with Effective Altruism," said a CEA spokesperson. "Our mission remains unchanged: to use reason and evidence to do the most good. Which coincidentally was the definition of EA." The announcement mirrors a pattern of other organizations that have grown with EA support and frameworks and eventually distanced themselves from EA. CEA's statement clarified that it will continue to use the same methodologies, maintain the same team, and pursue identical goals. "We've found that not being associated with the movement we have spent years building gives us more flexibility to do exactly what we were already doing, just with better PR," the spokesperson explained. "It's like keeping all the benefits of a community while refusing to contribute to its future development or taking responsibility for its challenges. Win-win!" In a related announcement, CEA revealed plans to rename its annual EA Global conference to "Coincidental Gathering of Like-Minded Individuals Who Mysteriously All Know Each Other But Definitely Aren't Part of Any Specific Movement Conference 2025." When asked about concerns that this trend might be pulling up the ladder for future projects that also might benefit from the infrastructure of the effective altruist community, the spokesperson adjusted their "I Heart Consequentialism" tie and replied, "Future projects? I'm sorry, but focusing on long-term movement building would be very EA of us, and as we've clearly established, we're not that anymore." Industry analysts predict that by 2026, the only entities still identifying as "EA" will be three post-rationalist bloggers, a Discord server full of undergraduate philosophy majors, and one person at
Thomas Kwa
 ·  · 2m read
 · 
Epistemic status: highly certain, or something The Spending What We Must 💸11% pledge  In short: Members pledge to spend at least 11% of their income on effectively increasing their own productivity. This pledge is likely higher-impact for most people than the Giving What We Can 🔸10% Pledge, and we also think the name accurately reflects the non-supererogatory moral beliefs of many in the EA community. Example Charlie is a software engineer for the Centre for Effective Future Research. Since Charlie has taken the SWWM 💸11% pledge, rather than splurge on a vacation, they decide to buy an expensive noise-canceling headset before their next EAG, allowing them to get slightly more sleep and have 104 one-on-one meetings instead of just 101. In one of the extra three meetings, they chat with Diana, who is starting an AI-for-worrying-about-AI company, and decide to become a cofounder. The company becomes wildly successful, and Charlie's equity share allows them to further increase their productivity to the point of diminishing marginal returns, then donate $50 billion to SWWM. The 💸💸💸 Badge If you've taken the SWWM 💸11% Pledge, we'd appreciate if you could add three 💸💸💸 "stacks of money with wings" emoji to your social media profiles. We chose three emoji because we think the 💸11% Pledge will be about 3x more effective than the 🔸10% pledge (see FAQ), and EAs should be scope sensitive.  FAQ Is the pledge legally binding? We highly recommend signing the legal contract, as it will allow you to sue yourself in case of delinquency. What do you mean by effectively increasing productivity? Some interventions are especially good at transforming self-donations into productivity, and have a strong evidence base. In particular:  * Offloading non-work duties like dates and calling your mother to personal assistants * Running many emulated copies of oneself (likely available soon) * Amphetamines I'm an AI system. Can I take the 💸11% pledge? We encourage A
Recent opportunities in Building effective altruism