Hello! Two second context - posted A case against strong longtermism a while ago, and the first of a three part response two weeks ago. This is part two of the series, wherein I address dutch books, accuracy domination, alternatives to decision theory, and claims that the probability calculus represents “Laws” of rationality.
In the next post I'll address 'complex cluelessness', the nature of scientific prediction, the role of data in science, and Popper's impossibility proof. (Then I'll move on to other subjects, promise)