I have written election recommendations for United States federal elections and California ballot propositions. There is almost full agreement here among my own analysis, Scott Alexander (who is in turn informed by the Bay Area EA and rationalist community), and Max Ghenis, who are the only EAs who I have seen make systematic vote recommendations. We're also in nearly complete agreement with the Los Angeles Neoliberals.

Summary: for the presidency and Congress, vote for Biden and other Democrats. For California ballot measures, vote: 14Y, 15Y, 16N, 17Y, 18Y, 19Y, 20N, 21N, 22Y, 23N, 24N, 25Y.

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