I would wait for METR's actual evaluation — '30 hours' is just based on claims of continued effort, not actual successful performance on carefully measured tasks.
We are on an exponential curve - Claude Sonnet 4.5 — EA Forum
We are on an exponential curve - Claude Sonnet 4.5
Hello, I am lost of words honestly. I am feeling a mix of bewilderment, excitement, sadness and gratefulness. Not for this model drop, but for life and this overall development.
A new model just dropped, and it seems like as if this is somehow already twice as fast and large (didn't do the math yet) in autonomous task duration as METR estimated. Probably a lot more.
All I want to say for now is that I am grateful for each and every one of you and for have given me the chance to be part of a community where I did not feel like a black sheep.
Thank you for all of those that are actively trying to make the future go well and the world a bit better. However this continues, I wish you all the love in the world.
Note: This post was crossposted from the Coefficient Giving Farm Animal Welfare Research Newsletter by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.
Subtitle: On vegan advocacy, effective altruism, and FIFA
I turn 40 today. Here are some hot takes.
On factory farming
1. Our biggest challenge is salience. If factory farming led the evening news, it wouldn’t last lo...
When speaking to candidates who are considering working with us at 80,000 Hours, I often hear people worry about replaceability.
The familiar version of the worry is about whether the organisation will hire someone else in your place. If it will, then the difference you make by taking the job is only the difference between you and them.
There are a couple of well-known answers to that. The person hired in your place probably cares about the world too, and would go on to do somethi...
> TL;DR: No, but you might, if you leave it too late: We’re hiring for seven roles, and the people who join now will shape what a much bigger AIM becomes. The first step is cheap -- an expression of interest form.
My worry
I rejoined...
I would wait for METR's actual evaluation — '30 hours' is just based on claims of continued effort, not actual successful performance on carefully measured tasks.