Visualisation of Probability Mass: visualise percentages easily with a 10x10 grid.
Click and drag probability elicitation: generate probability distributions easily with a simple interface.
Google Sheets: a collaborative spreadsheet creator integrated with google drive/docs.
Google Drawing: a collaborative drawing platform integrated with google drive/docs
Excalidraw: a collaborative shared whiteboard for text and sketching. Good for logic models.
Loom: screen capture and audio/video recording app with easy sharing.
Pol.is: A surveying platform in which participants submit short text statements, or comments, (<140 characters) which are then sent out semi-randomly to other participants to vote on by clicking agree, disagree or pass.
Pastcasting (Sage): A forecasting platform using resolved questions from other sites (e.g. Metaculus) to shorten the feedback loop and practice forecasting, particularly over long time horizons.
Vodle: A collective decision making platform where participants can vote on questions using a voting system that is fairer than majority voting and more efficient than traditional consensus procedures.
|Name of Tool||Text tutorial||Video Tutorial||Twitter Thread|
|Manifold Markets||Official documentation, wiki page||Loom||WIP|
|Visualisation of Probability Mass||Forum post (WIP)||N/A||WIP|
|Click and Drag Probability Elicitation||Forum post (WIP)||Loom||WIP|
|Guesstimate||Forum post (WIP)||Loom||WIP|
|Squiggle||Forum post (WIP)||Loom||WIP|
|Squiggle Components||Official documentation||N/A||N/A|
|Excalidraw||Forum post (WIP)||Loom||WIP|
|Loom||Forum post (WIP)||Basic, Broader||WIP|
|Causal.app||Forum post (WIP)||Quickstart||WIP|