Nathan Young

Interested in Improving Institutional Decision Making, forecasting and policy. Also storytelling, theology and community.

I enjoy chatting, feel free to book a time here

https://calendly.com/nathanpmyoung/call

nathanpmyoung.com

Wiki Contributions

Comments

EA Forum Creative Writing Contest: $10,000 in prizes for good stories

Yeah I think your behaviour here is fine. But imagine I spent $10,000 advertising a post I wrote. Would that be okay? The question interested me.

EA Forum Creative Writing Contest: $10,000 in prizes for good stories

I suggest there should be an honourable mention for the most upvoted in each category if that entry doesn't win a prize. If the community thinks something is great and it doesn't get anything, I think that would be a shame.

EA Forum Creative Writing Contest: $10,000 in prizes for good stories

People have suggested story competitions before, but this has gotten way more upvotes. Why?

I guess it's because there is a 10k prize and because Aaron suggested it. 

If we were getting too biased to the person writing forum articles rather than the quality of those articles, how would we know?

Working at a (DC) policy think tank: Why you might want to do it, what it’s like, and how to get a job

I weakly suggest that Twitter is also underrated by EAs interested in policy. I'm happy to write something fully if people upvote this.

The sketch of my argument is that lots of top staffers are on Twitter and it's not hard to get access to them. Many EAs are followed by big academics, pubic figures etc, I've had several chats to movers and shakers (Noah Smith, David Shor, Tyler Cowen). I imagine someone who sought to talk to staffers in a particular area could after about 6 months of posting for 3 hours a week.

Working at a (DC) policy think tank: Why you might want to do it, what it’s like, and how to get a job

I assume this makes much more sense for US folks than others. If this isn't the case correct me.

Gifted $1 million. What to do? (Not hypothetical)

I like that you suggest that people should give what they are comfortable giving. 

I think that's advice I'd want someone to give my friend and I think it's wiser in the long term.

Announcing the Open Philanthropy Undergraduate Scholarship

I think that ETH  Zurich is a particularly good example since it's one place below Imperial. Not sure I'd be convinced of this argument if it was #15, say. 

Announcing the Open Philanthropy Undergraduate Scholarship

Also, what about people who "ought" to apply but don't know it yet? Could there be an EA scholarship program for developing nations? 1 page application, a short test, then then anyone above a certain bar gets supported in a full funding application and if successful helped applying to a university.

If I had to guess I'd think there were many barriers in the way of students applying to foreign universities. 

Summary and Takeaways: Hanson's “Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?”

A large question I have is "Why haven't any EA orgs used futarchy?" 

It seems to me that it's easiest to implement in a small organisation. The fact that is seen nowhere (to my knowledge) suggests it can't be as clearcut as it first seems.

Some suggestions for how it would be used if people were convinced:

  • Forecast GiveWell scores, investigate charities with high ones
  • Forecast fund evaluations
  • Forecast community metrics under different large scale community decisions
  • Set up an EA org that runs on a futarchy

In my mind, the fact that these aren't happening despite being possible suggests there must be more flaws than those raised in this peice.

If I had to guess it's that:

  • Futarchy seems to weird
  • EAs (like everyone else) are concerned that such an inflexible system would lead to unpredictable badness and so push away from creating it. 
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