If stealing got easier, to compensate we might need to increase punishment, decrease punishment delay, increase surveillance (decrease privacy), increase spending in security, decrease long term planning, decrease owning some types of assets (and vice versa), decrease exchanges / agreements / contracts.
More labour wasted on guards (and surveilling the guards), sturdier barriers, traps, defensive training and tools, etc.
Low-trust societies where interactions with strangers are risky mean clannishness / arms-length exchanges decrease, partially compensated by more transactions with trusted parties (family and allies).
[Question]
How does change in the cost of security change the world?
A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones.
Summary
I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed.
Epistemic status
Exploratory and back-o...
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Subtitle: It’s a major warning shot, and might be the last one we get
All opinions are my personal view, and don’t represent my employer or fellow investigators.
This week, METR and Redwood Research published...
Overview
This post summarizes a new preprint on alternative proteins from the Humane and Sustainable Food Lab: New alternatives, same orders. We investigated 19...
Just some thoughts.
If stealing got easier, to compensate we might need to increase punishment, decrease punishment delay, increase surveillance (decrease privacy), increase spending in security, decrease long term planning, decrease owning some types of assets (and vice versa), decrease exchanges / agreements / contracts.
Also, day-to-day behavior would change.
More labour wasted on guards (and surveilling the guards), sturdier barriers, traps, defensive training and tools, etc.
Low-trust societies where interactions with strangers are risky mean clannishness / arms-length exchanges decrease, partially compensated by more transactions with trusted parties (family and allies).