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Ought has just launched a binary prediction database. You can create public and private questions, filter and search, see your calibration, share sets of questions, and predict on other people's questions.

How you can use this

Here are some of the ways we're excited for people to use this:

Get quick feedback from our rapidly resolving tournament

We've also launched a rapidly resolving forecasting tournament. All questions resolve within a week, so you can get quick feedback to improve your forecasting. You'll be able to see your calibration, and we'll share scores. Predict here before the questions close at 12am PST on Thu 11/19!

Let us know what you think

We expect the binary database to evolve a lot over time, and would love to hear feedback on how to make this most useful for you!




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