Some of the best people ever to exist are people who could have launched nukes, but didn't. This suggests a new high-priority career path:
- Join the military.
- Get yourself into the chain of people who are responsible for launching nukes.
- If at any point you are told to launch a nuke or given the authority to launch a nuke, don't.
Probably a depressing career path because there's a ~99.99% probability that you will never do anything important. But it could be high EV.
I'd consider tweaking (3) to something like, "Make sure you don't start a nuclear war based on a false alarm." The current version has imo some serious downsides:
(I strongly upvoted this; I think some subset of EAs are overly naive about what channels could nuclear policy be used to reduce catastrophic risks)