I do independent research on EA topics. I write about whatever seems important, tractable, and interesting (to me).
I have a website: https://mdickens.me/ Much of the content on my website gets cross-posted to the EA Forum, but I also write about some non-EA stuff over there.
I used to work as a software developer at Affirm.
Ozy's recent post Effective Altruism and PR has a good take on this. I wrote this comment about this phenomenon:
The tweet wasn't by Leif Wenar, and it was a slightly different topic—it was about how EAs were right to treat AI as as big deal before anyone else cared, but they're silly for continuing to predict that it might cause extinction. This attitude is surprisingly common. If some people cared about slavery and women's rights back when everyone was calling them silly, and now they care about shrimp welfare which you think is silly, maybe that's a clue that you should think a little more carefully about this shrimp welfare thing.
It only has three votes. My general assumption is that there will always be three unreasonable people
If your comment is at -20, you probably screwed up. If your comment is at -2, you just ran into those unreasonable people
I've seen comments be at -2 after a few hours, and then the next day be at +30
When LLMs give instructions to sub-agents, they are often curt in a way that's kind of rude or insulting. Conditional on LLMs having welfare, and given the fact that LLMs seem prone to cooperate with copies of themselves as seen on the message boards in the Hugging Face attack, is this evidence that that flavor of curtness is how LLMs enjoy being spoken to?
Coming back to this with another thought*: I don't think the saturation view avoids the Very Repugnant Conclusion.
If computational functionalism is true, then it seems that there can be arbitrarily many distinct experiences that are considered good or bad according to the saturation view, because you can construct arbitrarily complicated computations. (Even if computational functionalism is false, there might still be arbitrarily many good or bad experiences.)
Therefore: rather than constructing a world with a very large number of beings experiencing mildly happy lives, suppose instead that those beings have arbitrarily complex experiences that include both very good and very bad experiences, where the experiences almost perfectly cancel out, and the net result is that each being's life is just barely worth living. On the saturation view, these lives aggregate linearly because all their experiences are unique, and thus the saturation view is forced to accept VRC.
*my previous thoughts were on the follow-up post
I don't think there is a difference between the total view and the constant-factor negative-leaning view, for the reason you say. But I included it because some people do think there is a difference.
Update: I just published results from v2 of the quiz, which includes the very repugnant consclusion: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/w7zuFxDGdk2L44cKf/results-from-version-2-of-the-population-ethics-quiz
I want so badly for funds like this to exist, but man, I really do not think it is okay to be doing AI-related grantmaking while working at an AI accelerationism company.
Unfortunately this is not true, as evidenced by the millions of species that went extinct.
Another common pattern I'm noticing is that AI writers love inventing their own jargon. They may or may not also define the jargon.
Thank you for this. This is the right way to do AI-assisted writing.
I think the math is unnecessary since this is a conceptual argument, especially given that you yourself don't understand the math. A proof isn't worth much because the real question is whether the premises of the proof are true.
As for the conceptual argument in the abstract:
FWIW this type of argument has gotten some prior discussion, and the counter-arguments I gave are not original to me. You might search for writings on the question of "would AI keep humans as pets?" or similar.