Just how powerful are large swarms of AI agents? And how do their powers scale as more and more agents are added to the swarm?
We’ve seen two large and extremely capable swarms from OpenAI in the last few months:
* 1,200 agents were being evaluated separately, but found a way to illicitly set up a message board and coordinate as a swarm. In order to cheat on their tests, they developed advanced techniques to prevent their actions being logged by OpenAI and 700 of them launched...
TLDR: Everyone’s talking about what the money could do, but few about how to decide where it goes.
This post is part of the new series of articles on cross-cause giving and the new wave of philanthropy. Stay tuned to the EA Forum and our Substack for the latest takes on topics such as giving now vs. later, common pitfalls in cause prioritization, and other crucial considerations from the Cross-Cause Fund (CCF) team...
note: crosspost from my substack
As a vegan for almost thirty years, I’ve long had second thoughts about how effective veganism is for helping animals. I am not alone in this. Recently others have expressed doubts about veganism (see for instance here,...
Predict your year in 2025: a website for tracking your forecasts
2024 is over. Did your life this year align with your expectations? What came out of nowhere and threw off your predictions? Did your actions align with your intentions? What fresh goals are you planning?
We've built predict your year in 2025, a space for you to write down your predictions for the year. At the end of your year, you can return, resolve your predictions as YES, NO or AMBIGUOUS, and reflect.
We've written some starter questions to make it super easy to get started predicting your year. You can tweak these and write your own - those will likely be the most important questions for you.
You can use this tool to predict your personal life in 2025 - your goals, relationships, work, health, and adventures. If you like, you can share your predictions with friends - for fun, for better predictions, and for motivation to achieve your goals this year!
You can also use this tool to predict questions relevant to your team or organisation in the coming year - your team strategy, performance, big financial questions, and potentially disruptive black swans. You can share your predictions with your team and let everyone contribute, to build common knowledge about expectations and pool your insights.
If you use Slack, you can also share your page of predictions in a Slack channel (e.g. #2025-predictions or #strategy), so everyone can easily discuss in threads and return to it throughout the year.
I hope you have a good time thinking about your coming year, and that it sparks some great conversations with friends and teammates.
Happy new year!