BLUF:
* To determine whether AI is ‘improving exponentially’, ‘hitting the wall’, or any other claim which involves a quantity or magnitude (e.g. ‘This model was a big leap/small increment’). We need a good y-axis: an interval scale of AI capability which means +1 unit always represents the same degree of ‘how much better’, in the same way +1 degree Celsius is always the same amount of ‘how much hotter’.
* Yet there is no good y-axis for AI capability. All our...
TL;DR
* The Long-Term Future Fund is closing down, and EA Funds is launching the Transformative AI Fund with a new full-time team.
* The fund's primary focus is technical AI safety and AI governance (including post-AGI governance), as well as supporting fields such as field-building and forecasting. We'll also consider non-GCR implications of transformative AI such as flourishing futures and digital...
Public service announcement
1. Applications are now open for our first ever round of the Charity Entrepreneurship Incubation Program dedicated exclusively to animal welfare. Learn more about what’s different this round here and apply...
I'm the co-founder and one of the main organizers of EA Purdue. Last fall, we got four signups for our intro seminar; this fall, we got around fifty. Here's what's changed over the last year:
Early group organizing can often feel demoralizing and hopeless. You may put a lot of effort into setting things up, only to get a single-digit number of applicants to your first seminar. But the work is worth it - I wouldn't have had the success of this year if I hadn't spent the last year running seminars and filling out registration paperwork. Good luck with your own organizing, and may you find similar success!
This is super awesome! Thanks for sharing the specifics of what you did—it will definitely be useful info for us in the future. We’ve considered having people fill out fellowship apps during our intro talk but have worried that this might lower the quality of applicant responses. I’d be interested in knowing what your experience with it was.
Thanks! We took an approach of making the fellowship application form as minimal as we could, so most of our applicants were able to put fairly high-quality responses to the remaining questions. We also have experienced a somewhat higher attrition rate for the actual fellowship (4->2 last semester, 50->15 this semester), which we suspect is due to the shorter forms, but we haven't seen any other new problems.