This is a linkpost for https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220615-do-we-need-a-better-understanding-of-progress
I wrote a 4k word feature on Progress Studies for BBC Future that just went up. (Tweet here). I explore:
- the stagnation hypothesis
- the origins of progress studies
- what PS believes
- will economic growth make us happier
- frontier vs. catch-up growth, and how PS’s focus on the former reveals its biases
- progress and existential risk
- the future of the community
I think of PS as like EA circa ~2012. They have billionaire support and are quickly professionalizing. The community seems very interested in learning from EA and has responded to critiques that they are not focused enough on x-risk.
But they are different in important ways. Compared to EA, I think PS is:
- more entrepreneurial, with a strong bias to action
- less academic
- more American, tech-y, and rooted in the Bay Area
- less defined - PS is not nearly as rigorous or philosophically oriented
- less demanding - PS doesn't really ask much, if anything, from its followers. I think this may be a huge force multiplier for the community, as it will better appeal to wealthy tech people, but probably makes any individual member less effective
- more neoliberal and libertarian (though, compared to these groups PS is quicker to recognize market failures and call for govt intervention)
- more speciesist - the focus is just on human progress, and tech has clearly been net-bad for farmed animals IMO
- more growth-oriented
For an interesting look at what the intersection of PS and EA looks like, check out the Institute for Progress, a new think tank funded by PS co-founder Patrick Collison, Open Phil, SBF, and others.
Timeline
- March 2017 - Roots of Progress blog starts
- July 2018 - Stripe Press launches
- July 2019 - “We Need a New Science of Progress” essay published in Atlantic
- August 2019 - PS Slack channel launches
- Oct 2019 - Roots of Progress becomes a nonprofit
- Aug 2020 - Works in Progress online magazine starts
- January 2022 - Institute for Progress think tank launches
- Feb 2022 - Works in Progress acquired by Stripe Press
- April 2022 - Progress Forum launches (sponsored by Roots of Progress)
- May 2022 - The Atlantic Progress series launches