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Hey everyone, 1st year radiology resident here! Quick intro and a tool that might be useful for anyone who wants to practice being better calibrated.
Back when I was in med school I wished there was a tool to log my diagnostic guesses (e.g., “70% this is pneumonia”), track outcomes, and actually measure whether my confidence matched reality. Nowadays there are some tools that let you do that but I believe I've made a good alternative to these, called Guessometer, that lets you:
If you’re curious, try it out and let me know what you think, especially what would make it helpful for aspiring superforecasters.
Sorry for the shameless plug, I'm just really excited!
Thanks for your time!
have you tried Fatebook.io, from @Adam Binksmith ?
Yeah I did try it recently, it’s not a bad project by any means (quite the contrary — has more functions than my little MVP). I just wanted to make something that shows it all in one page: the stats, the graphs, the community predictions and reactions — everything.