6. Smarter than us

Transformative artificial intelligence may well be developed this century. If it is, it may begin to make many significant decisions for us, and rapidly accelerate changes like economic growth. Are we set up to deal with this new technology safely?

We are also including pieces on Bayes’ rule in this session because it is an important theory for helping us think clearly about all sorts of difficult questions. The insights into how to assess evidence that follow from Bayes’ rule are applicable both in the particular case of transformative artificial intelligence as well as much more broadly.