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Forecasting

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Forecasting can help us get a better sense of what will happen in the future, so that we can prepare appropriately. It is a significant aspect of EA strategy around pandemic preparedness, AI alignment, and many other topics. To learn more, we recommend this post.

See also Improving Institutional Decision-Making.

Posts tagged Forecasting
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8[Podcast] Rob Wiblin on self-improvement and research ethics
MichaelA
2d
4
2
302020: Forecasting in Review
NunoSempere
7d
7
2
26Forecasting Newsletter: December 2020
NunoSempere
16d
2
1
13One’s Future Behavior as a Domain of Calibration
markus_over
17d
6
1
27Forecasting of Priorities: a tool for effective political participation?
janklenha
17d
1
7
60Forecasts about EA organisations which are currently on Metaculus.
alexrjl
19d
2
1
63Incentivizing forecasting via social media
David_Althaus, kokotajlod
1mo
19
2
30How might better collective decision-making backfire?Q
Denis Drescher
1mo
Q
21
2
33Forecasting Newsletter: November 2020.
NunoSempere
2mo
0
1
2Helping future researchers to better understand long-term forecasting
gabriel_wagner
2mo
1
2
47Predicting the Value of Small Altruistic Projects: A Proof of Concept Experiment.
NunoSempere
2mo
3
2
18Needed: Volunteer forecasters for Fish Welfare InitiativeQ
haven
2mo
Q
2
2
36AGI Predictions
Pablo
2mo
0
1
15Binary prediction database and tournament
amandango
2mo
0
4
63Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize
Ozzie Gooen, NunoSempere
2mo
7
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