Anthropic shadow
Anthropic shadow is the phenomenon involved when attempts to estimate the probabilitymagnitude of a global catastrophecatastrophic or existential risk are biased by the fact that they are implicitly conditioning on the existence of human observers.
Further reading
Ćirković, Milan M., Anders Sandberg & Nick Bostrom (2010) Anthropic shadow: observation selection effects and human extinction risks, Risk Analysis, vol. 30, pp. 1495–1506.
Milan Ćirković, Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom have developed a model to quantify and correct for this effect (Ćirković, Sandberg & Bostrom 2010).effect.[1]
BibliographyRelated entries
anthropics | estimation of existential risk | existential risk | global catastrophic risk
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Ćirković, Milan M., Anders Sandberg & Nick Bostrom (2010) Anthropic shadow: observation selection effects and human extinction risks, Risk Analysis, vol. 30, pp. 1495–1506.
Related entriesanthropics|estimation of existential risk|existential risk|global catastrophic risk
Anthropic shadow is the phenomenon involved when attempts to estimate the probability of an existentiala global catastrophe are biased by the fact that they are implicitly conditioning on the existence of human observers.
An event severe enough to destroy all present observers and prevent the emergence of any future observers will necessarily leave no observable traces of its past existence. Such an anthropic effect will bias any attempt to estimate existentialthe risk of human extinction based on observed frequencies, causing an underestimation of actual risk.
Anthropic shadow is the phenomenon involved when attempts to estimate the probability of a globalan existential catastrophe are biased by the fact that they are implicitly conditioning on the existence of human observers.
Milan Ćirković, Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom have developed a model to understandquantify and correct for this effect (Ćirković, Sandberg & Bostrom 2010).
Milan Ćirković, Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom have developed a model to understand and correct for this effect (Ćirković, Sandberg & Bostrom 2010).
Related entries
anthropics | estimation of existential risk | existential risk | global catastrophic risk
An event severe enough to destroysdestroy all present observers and prevent the emergence of any future observers will necessarily leave no observable traces of its past existence. Such an anthropic effect will bias any attempt to estimate existential risk based on observed frequencies, causing an underestimation of actual risk.
AAn event severe enough global catastrophe thatto destroys all present observers and preventsprevent the emergence of any future observers will necessarily leave no observable traces of its past existence. Such an anthropic effect will bias any attempt to estimate existential risk based on observed frequencies, causing an underestimation of actual risk.
Anthropic shadow is the potential censoringphenomenon involved when attempts to estimate the probability of a global catastrophe are biased by the historical recordfact that they are implicitly conditioning on the existence of human observers.
A severe enough global catastrophe that destroys all present observers and prevents the emergence of any future observers will necessarily leave no observable traces of its past existence. Such an anthropic effect will bias any attempt to estimate existential risk based on observed frequencies, causing an underestimation of actual risk.
Milan Ćirković, Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom have developed a model to understand and correct for events involving risks of human extinction.this effect (Ćirković, Sandberg & Bostrom 2010)
Bibliography
Ćirković, Milan M., Anders Sandberg & Nick Bostrom (2010) Anthropic shadow: observation selection effects and human extinction risks, Risk Analysis, vol. 30, pp. 1495–1506.
Just flagging that I think this doesn't explain the concept well; I think it sounds like it's talking about the sort of censorship that happens under totalitarian regimes, rather than something to do with anthropics. (Obviously it'd be better for me to actually suggest an alternative, but drive-by criticism is much easier :D)
Anthropic shadow is the potential censoring of the historical record for events involving risks of human extinction.
Yeah, this looks better, thanks!