All of Luke Freeman's Comments + Replies

Nice! I enjoyed how accessible and friendly this is!

1
Non-zero-sum James
2mo
Thanks Luke!

Thanks team! I can't keep track of which email address I've used from year to year on the surveys, do you plan to send an email to those who filled in the previous surveys with a link to fill it in again which pre-fills the email address? That'd be wonderful if so 🙌

4
David_Moss
4mo
Thanks Luke! Everyone who opted to receive additional surveys by email in the last EA Survey, will have received an email with this survey (December 11-12th). We find they often get sent to the spam folder though, so you might want to check. If you follow the link in that email, it won't automatically pre-fill your email or automatically track you, but you will be able to know which email address it was sent to, so that you can enter that one.

That's fantastic!! Great to see, thanks for sharing!

Thanks both. They haven't shared this with us specifically so I can't speak for them. They have been very clear that it is a conditional match.

I'll try updating the wording for clarity.

Thanks for updating the wording! I think this is much better.

(I also think that without more information about what the donor will do with any unmatched funds prospective GWWC donors should more or less ignore the match in deciding whether or how much to give, since they probably have similar donation priorities people who would want to offer matching funds to GWWC.)

Sadly I read it the same way 😅 But I’m glad this is happening!!

I can’t quite state enough how much I appreciate you writing this right now. You shared what I’m feeling and thinking way better than I feel I can. Thank you.

💕

While I can't share specific details about our previous benefactor for various reasons (e.g. privacy), I can assure you the reasons for this are not related to any issues with the Donor Lottery itself (e.g. support of the approach, estimation of its value or cost-effectiveness, any issues with the process etc).

Our previous benefactor has been instrumental in supporting the lottery in the past and we deeply appreciate this. We'd be excited to find more backstop funds to increase the size of the Donor Lottery again.

@Larks. Further to Jason’s above comment (noting it’s roughly equivalent to tax deductible donation calculations), you count Gift Aid if you count your pre-tax income. If you can’t claim Gift Aid then you count your post-tax income.

Yep. Plus:

  1. the recommendations are as the donation is made (not after which is the case with a DAF and is why the donation gift card might be difficult as the allocation comes afterward)
  2. the programs are restricted (whereas DAFs give unrestricted funding)

A DAF let’s you donate to a fund that you ~control so you can later make unrestricted donations from to charities registered in the same country that the DAF is registered in, whereas GWWC/LTYCS/GiveWell etc can receive donations to program restrictions (eg bednets) and then make restricted grants based... (read more)

2
Jason
5mo
Treasury just came out with proposed regulations defining a DAF -- and I must say, I find them pretty badly done for something that has been in the works for seventeen years! The temporal difference could be outcome-determinative here. But I'm having a hard time distinguishing gift cards from allowing the donor to amend a recommendation (e.g., the intervention was proven ineffective after the donation but before the disbursement) or to supply one if originally omitted (e.g., I forgot to fill out GiveWell's allocation form prior to sending a check or authorizing an ACH).  I don't think it's inherent to a DAF that the regrant is unrestricted to specific purposes or that the donor's options for a recommendation are pretty wide open. The statute and proposed regs tell us that an org that regrants to only a single identified organization that meets certain criteria isn't a DAF, which suggests that an org that regrants to two or more could be. One plausible reading of the proposed regs would be that any regranting organization that allowed donors to change recommendations, or consulted donors post-donation to the extent that consultation would rise to the level of "advisory privileges," would be a DAF.  In other words, if a gap in time between donation and recommendation makes a regranting organization a DAF, then a lot of regranting orgs may need to tighten up their policies and practices if they don't want to be a DAF. I'm not sure whether to blame Treasury or Congress more for this mess.

Nice work!! Love it 🥰

This is something I’ve been thinking about for GWWC but haven’t yet figured out the legalities (especially trying to avoid being seen as a Donor Advised Fund).

4
Sebastian Schwiecker
5mo
As Jason wrote, legally it's a non-binding recommendation by the person who receives the voucher + if we don't receive such a recommendation within 12 month after the code was created the money (donation) goes to GiveWells All Grants Fund. So it's not a DAF (which don't exist in Germany anyway). If you really want to donate now but decide where the money should go (much) later we have a different product: https://effektiv-spenden.org/blog/effektiv-spenden-depot/ (also not a real DAF though).
5
Jason
5mo
Could you say a bit more about why you're concerned this would make EVF a DAF operator? Per EVF's Terms and Conditions at 1.3: In other words, don't people who give on the GWWC website technically make a non-binding recommendation to EVF as to which charity it should regrant those funds? I believe GiveWell and TLYCS work on a similar paradigm.  The only difference here seems to be that the donor-to-EVF is delegating the power to make the non-binding recommendation to a third party. I'm not sure why that would change EVF's status from not-running-a-DAF to running-a-DAF.

Our largest funder has been OP, and we received some (now returned) money from Future Fund. Other than that it hs mostly been individuals and small foundations (eg family foundations).

(Thank you!!)

We take funding from Open Philanthropy (currently our largest funder) but not from the evaluators and grantmakers whose recommendations we use (eg Founders Pledge, GiveWell etc) because we don't want it to undermine people's trust in our recommendations.

For various reasons both OP and us would like us to reduce the portion of funding that comes from them as time goes on.

2
Jason
5mo
This seems like a case in which it might be helpful for OP to consider pre-committing to GWWC's funding for the next three years or so, with the exact amount of funding each year determined by an algorithm related to GWWC's non-OP funding. Optionally, each year it could announce the algorithm for the fiscal year that began three years from the current year so that there was always a three-year funding algorithm in place. This would be vaguely similar to what it is doing for some of the EA Funds (although given GWWC's more democratic spirit the formula should factor in number of donors rather than being so heavily based on volume raised). In essence, OP would be deferring to the community's pocketbook vote as to renewal of GWWC's grant and (within bounds) adjustments to the amounts granted. There's a cost for OP there -- the algorithm might lead to a somewhat different grant amount than OP would have chosen under the traditional system, but proper construction of the algorithm should keep the amount "on rails." And GWWC's budget is on the smaller side, so the possible variance should be possible despite the risks of endowment changes and similar events. (Or they could be written into the algorithm.) This is also a more general idea for other components of what we might term "EA Core Democratic-Leaning Infrastructure," which would also encompass the basic expenses of running the Forum (not the entire CEA Online Team budget request), most of CEA Community Health / Special Projects, and probably a few other things as well. These are all functions for which it would be good for the work to be funded more by a broad base of donors and less by Open Phil.
0
Larks
5mo
Makes sense, thanks for explaining!

Latest (48 hours in): OpenAI Board Stands by Decision to Force Sam Altman Out of C.E.O. Role
After 48 hours of furious negotiations, the A.I. company said Mr. Altman would not return to his job and that former Twitch C.E.O. Emmett Shear would be its interim boss. 

The board of directors at OpenAI, the high-flying artificial intelligence start-up, stood by its decision to push out its former chief executive Sam Altman, according to an internal memo sent to the company’s staff on Sunday night.

OpenAI named Emmett Shear, a former executive at Twitch, as the

... (read more)
4
Ben Chancey
5mo
How on earth does one reconcile this with the fact that Ilya has now publicly tweeted that he deeply regrets his involvement in the board’s actions, and that he has signed the open letter threatening to quit unless the board resigns?

Oh wow, that last paragraph seems like a good sign that they have good grounds for these statements they're not walking back

Not exactly, depending on what someone means by "sacrificed income". See my comment clarifying this. Essentially "salary sacrifice" (a form of payroll giving where you take home less pay for some kind of benefit including a donation to a charity; or equivalent arrangements) is different to "choosing a lower paying job for impact reasons". The key here is it's voluntary, revocable, has a specific monetary value, and the donation is very specifically one that would count towards a pledge.

Yep. It’s complicated and needs to be tailored to the organisation and it’s needs at the time. So far all our roles have been remote but we have seen an employees location as something that might have some cost/benefit to consider but not a requirement.

The distinction is important because (a) it’s good to encourage people to make high-impact career trade offs, but (a) GWWC isn’t/shouldn’t be about starting to track all of people’s impact decisions in one place and converting all volunteering and lower (or hypothetically lower based on glancing at Glassdor) paying jobs into $ so you can then donate less actual dollars. It’s about recognising if you’re in a relatively well off financial position and voluntarily using your available financial resources to help others as effectively as you can.

Allowing some ... (read more)

3
Péter Drótos
5mo
Thanks for clarifying, I think the arguments makes sense! The FAQ is clear on this and it’s good to see some of it’s background. I can accept that it’s a tricky situation and the overall best way to handle it is to consider a resign.

Further to my lunch example. If you said “I’m buying lunch!” or “Lunch is on me!” then you still owe then $20.

(Excuse the brevity, typing on my phone). The spirit/norm is:

  1. Choosing a lower paying job for impact reasons (regardless of how high that impact may or may not be) ≠ pledged donation
  2. Voluntary pre-tax donation (to an org that meets the pledge criteria) via payroll giving or other means = pledged donation
  3. Voluntary pre-tax donation (to an org that meets the pledge criteria, where you also happen to work) via payroll giving or other means (e.g. writing to say please pay me $ less than is on my contract for Y period) = pledged donation
  4. #3, but artificially i
... (read more)

The distinction is important because (a) it’s good to encourage people to make high-impact career trade offs, but (a) GWWC isn’t/shouldn’t be about starting to track all of people’s impact decisions in one place and converting all volunteering and lower (or hypothetically lower based on glancing at Glassdor) paying jobs into $ so you can then donate less actual dollars. It’s about recognising if you’re in a relatively well off financial position and voluntarily using your available financial resources to help others as effectively as you can.

Allowing some ... (read more)

4
Luke Freeman
5mo
Further to my lunch example. If you said “I’m buying lunch!” or “Lunch is on me!” then you still owe then $20.

Re: Last point. The hiring manager can/would/does take into account the cost/benefit of the location/specific candidate when deciding which offers to make. It’s an all things considered decision.

FWIW: The CoL adjustment is the thing with the widest spread of views within the pay survey that we did. I think that we’ve arrived at near the least bad option for our team at the moment. An employee location does factor into some roles more than others, for example if someone is likely to be donor facing it is much more valuable to the organisation (and worth paying more) for them to be located in places like SF, NYC, London, Sydney etc where we have a high number of (potentially larger) donors.

4
Jason
5mo
That's a great point. I would think that a position that required the employee work in a certain location should have a 100 percent locality adjustment, as the employee's location is determined by employer needs rather than employee choice. It gets more interesting where there is some benefit to the employer, but not enough to strongly prefer or require a location or locations. E.g., does an employee being located in the Bay serve an AI safety org's interest to some extent, due to easier ability to collaborate with others doing similar work in and out of work hours?

FWIW Regarding your “bright-line” rule: For ~all our current roles/hires (even the most junior ones) their earning potential in the private sector is higher than the output of the calculator. We’re not typically hiring people who could attract <average wages as the counterfactual because we have been hiring exceptional people for specialist roles. As we grow we might hire for different roles where this isn’t the case and may at that point reconsider. I certainly don’t expect our current calculator/settings to last more than 1 year (at the very least we’re updating for things like inflation and currency shifts, we will also use these comments in the review process too).

(Typing on my phone, excuse the brevity)

6
Jason
5mo
Thanks -- that makes a lot of sense. One of the things I'm thinking about in the back of my head is the possibility that other orgs may adapt the algorithm for broader use. So I think it's helpful to document considerations like this. Doing so mitigates the risk of others applying the algorithm without first considering whether important assumptions upon which the originator org relied also hold true for their org.

Regarding "How much runway someone should have".

I'd very much plug spending time actually crunching the numbers and using some financial planning resources (e.g. Yield & Spread). Huge amount of peace of mind when you actually calculate different scenarios.

Literally building a spreadsheet and writing out assumptions helps a lot. I remember going through this with my partner in our early 20s it involved hard calls but once you actually see the numbers it helps. It's going to be so personal though like how happy you are with rice and beans, if y... (read more)

"but I've never been older" - best quote of the day ;)

Oh yeah, a big one. 

It was a combination of reading about Toby and the further pledge at the same time as reading some behavioural economics and learning about the hedonic treadmill that led me to switch our finances to "pay ourselves a living allowance" at a time when we were on a very low combined income and as our incomes grew so did both our savings and donations. It was because of the lower spend rate more than the savings that I felt able to take the risk of pursuing startups, big pay cuts to work in nonprofit sector, and we both took time off b... (read more)

I think that captures it about as well as I could. One thing I'd add is that similar to marriage my preferred norm is to formally resign if you no longer intend to stick with it (and not just start ghosting if you're no longer vibing).

Less this:

More this:

...but then, I'd also like more marriages to end in a way that more peaceful and respectful than is common.

I like the analogies! I've used the former one before but I like the addition of "moving in together" analogy for the trial pledge.

Also regarding the name, it was "Try Giving Pledge" before and I think the "Trial Pledge" adjustment is a slight improvement, but really don't think it's been nailed. Would be super interested in alternative ideas and possible consequences of those names.

2
JP Addison
5mo
Babble: * 1 year pledge (+ 5 year pledge + 10 year pledge) * Something to riff off of: Pledgette. Compartmitment. * Handfasting Pledge * Present Pledge * Tour Pledge

Thanks for sharing Lizka! I appreciate you sharing these considerations :)

Personally, I donated at roughly the 10% amount for several years before taking the pledge (and at some point in the process I actually thought I had but when I realised I in fact hadn't in 2016 I then did it on the spot lest I forget again). I've definitely leaned into the "lifetime" part of the wording at points and after taking the pledge I had years where I gave below 10% (e.g. when working on my startup and taking home below minimum wage) and others where I have far exceeded tha... (read more)

You can think of the GWWC pledge as analogous to marriage, and that would make the trial pledge something like moving in together. In the romance analogy, some friends of mine who are reasonably averse to lifelong commitments do "handfasting", or intentionally not lifelong partnerships. A thought I've had for a while is that the Trial Pledge, by virtue of its name if nothing else, does poorly in the position of handfasting, where often the intention is never to get married (/ take the pledge).

(Anyway, all academic for me as I'm crazy enough to have done the lifelong pledge.)

Note that I said we paused the giving season campaigns around the time of the crisis, we didn’t decide not to have a pledge campaign entirely (though the pause and the crisis itself did negatively impact pledges significantly).

6
Larks
6mo
To clarify: are you just saying that the campaigns were paused but then eventually resumed (which was my understanding), or that the giving season campaigns (which were paused) are distinct from some other kind of pledge campaign, which were not paused?

Per my original comment, I agree that the EV decision (driven by legal considerations) obviously impacted GWWC strategy and day-to-day operations.

“Management” ultimately flows up to the board (and then EV recruited an Exec team to handle entity-wide decisions and processes for EV UK and EV US).

In a fiscal sponsorship scenario the fiscal sponsees actions can affect one another so it isn’t simply the case that an individual project can/should only think of their own risk appetite. During a crisis period I can understand the fiscal sponsor management not havi... (read more)

While I agree in terms of the ethos, I also understand the difficulty and a reasonable amount of the complexity of the situation and why this would have been difficult (and possibly bad, all things considered) to do at the time. I do not envy the position of those involved in this level of decision making/crisis response, and recognise the need to do a lot of satisficing at the time. 

The GWWC team are responsible for our strategy. This was a legal response decision (while it obviously affected our strategy and day-to-day operations).

The page you linked to lists pledges as the very first item under strategy. Pledges seem like a pretty core activity to GWWC, and the decision not to hold a pledge campaign a clear example of a strategic decision.

Legal decisions are not a separate magisteria from strategic decisions. Lawyers provide input into strategic decision making, by informing decision makers about the tradeoffs and legal risks of different options. At times they might give very strong advice. But lawyers do not give advice about non-legal consequences of actions, and nor will they g... (read more)

Thanks 😀 Glad it was helpful!

Is that a fair characterization?

Yep!

have you seen any signs of this dynamic easing?

No strong signs yet. This upcoming giving season will be a true test of that though.

I’m curious whether you think these issues are still as impactful as they were right after they occurred.

My impression is that it's less, but far from back to normal. Also bearing in mind that "normal" is hard to define (especially with GWWC) as a lot has changed over the last decade!

Also, do you think the other issues would have had as much of an impact if FTX h

... (read more)
2
AnonymousEAForumAccount
6mo
Thanks for taking the time to write this! Very helpful to get your perspective!

Who gave this instruction? The EV board? I think the decision was reasonable, I’m just trying to understand how it was made.

It was a board level decision.

my impression was that GWWC is essentially autonomous

While that is largely true for day to day operations, EV UK and EV US are still essentially responsible for the actions of their projects.

6
Larks
6mo
This is very surprising to me (though I don't doubt you it happened). My impression from reading other things put out by EV has been that the individual orgs were meant to be very independent. For example here Rebecca explicitly lists you as being responsible for "strategic" issues with GWWC; if this does not count as a strategic decision I struggle to see what would.
2
AnonymousEAForumAccount
6mo
Thanks for clarifying. FWIW, given community desires for more communication from leadership and greater transparency, I think it would have been good for the board to share this decision publicly.

I lead the team at GWWC and thought it might help for me to share some quick context, clarifications, and thoughts (sorry for the delay, I was on leave). I've kept this short and in bullet points.

  • Firstly, thank you for writing this. I think that broadly you are correct in the view that FTX has done much more damage than is commonly recognised within the EA community, however, I think that this effect is overstated in your post due to various reasons (some of which have been outlined by others already in the comments).
  • Here is our Growth Dashboard (live
... (read more)

we were instructed to pause all our giving season campaigns around the time of the crisis

This line surprised me, as my impression was that GWWC is essentially autonomous. Who gave this instruction? The EV board? I think the decision was reasonable, I’m just trying to understand how it was made.

8
AnonymousEAForumAccount
6mo
Thanks Luke, for this extremely thoughtful and informative comment! The dashboard is a fantastic resource, very impressive. I poked around a bit and noticed that the “monthly active effective givers” series look a lot less spikey than the pledge data (which makes sense). It seems like the various permutations of the active effective givers metrics (pledged, unpledged, reported, facilitated, one-off, recurring) all follow a pretty similar patterns: many years of growth (with some periods growing faster than others and some rare short flattish periods for some metrics) with spikes in December that get higher each year. Then starting at the beginning of 2023 theses metrics flatten out or show modest declines. If I’m understanding your view correctly, you would attribute that change to some combination of poor financial market performance (starting in early 2022), reduced outreach after FTX collapsed, reduced community advocacy due to FTX, and reduced community advocacy due to non-FTX factors. Is that a fair characterization?  Regarding reduced community advocacy for GWWC, have you seen any signs of this dynamic easing? FTX was in late 2022 and the “series of other difficult issues” was mostly in early 2023, so I’m curious whether you think these issues are still as impactful as they were right after they occurred. Also, do you think the other issues would have had as much of an impact if FTX hadn’t just happened? My sense is that e.g. the Bostrom incident wouldn’t have had much impact in isolation but the accumulation of things turned into a problem; I’d love to hear your take on this.

Thanks team for all your work on this! I'm excited for it!!

Excited to see this! Hope you all have a great time! Go London!!

While I'm generally sympathetic to GiveDirectly's position (I really like their work on so many fronts and think that cash outperforms so many interventions), it seems intuitive to me that it often won't outperform the very best interventions until we have a lot more funding supply (and I applaud their ambition for increasing that funding supply).

I often think of interventions like bednets as analogous to vaccines (something else that is often distributed for free when there's a widespread disease instead of sold for cash) for a few reasons:

  1. Stopping the sp
... (read more)

If the purchase of these products were to rely solely on individual decisions made by recipients of cash transfers, there might be insufficient demand to justify large-scale supply, potentially leading to lower availability and higher costs per unit. 

One might even say that providing complete autonomy of choice between bednets and cash to recipients is impossible at a constant funding level. If one could do a widespread distribution of bednets for $2 a person in an area, it should often be feasible to distribute $2 (less administrative costs) to each ... (read more)

Thanks Imma! We’re still very much looking for people to put their hands up for this. If anyone thinks they’d be a good fit please to let us know!

Hiring a fundraiser in the US, and perhaps in the Bay specifically, is something GWWC is especially interested in. Our main reason for not doing so is primarily our own funding situation. We're in the process of fundraising generally right now -- if any potential donor is interested, please send me a DM as I'm very open to chatting.

4
Linch
6mo
Sorry if my question is ignorant, but why does an effective giving organization needs specialized donors, instead of being mostly self-sustaining?  It makes sense if you are an early organization that needs startup funds (eg a national EA group in a new country, or the first iteration of Giving What We Can). But it seems like GWWC has been around for a while (including after the reboot with you at the helm). 
3
Chris Leong
6mo
This is the kind of project that seems like a natural fit for Manifund. After all, one of the key variables in the value of the grant is how much money it raises.

We’d be very excited to see applications for the Bay Area!! 🎉🎉🙏

Also worth noting that the 2020 podcast jump was significantly contributed to from the Sam Harris episode taking the GWWC Company Pledge (which was also a significant shift in his advocacy moving forward). This involved a lot of work behind the scenes from our side but would be attributed here as "finding EA (and GWWC)" from the podcast.

Also in ~2017 GWWC chapters were converted to EA groups so that also explains some of the difference (GWWC chapters used to be a way that people found out about EA in-person which was largely supplanted by EA groups so that now people find out about GWWC in-person via EA groups).

Both really important points, Luke! I think the shift from GWWC Chapters to EA groups is not obvious to many people in the community and represents some of the wider shift we've seen!

How fun!!! Now I'm even more jealous I'm not in NYC to hang out!

Thanks for sharing this! I like the series and would be excited to see it continue 😀

2
Amber Dawn
10mo
Thank you! 

Yep! A few of our team members have chosen to do this (including myself).

(Note: It’s always been initiated by the team member themselves and there isn’t any expectation from the organisation which I think would be a problem.)

I do still donate to other things too. I think that beyond the direct impact of those donations it helps to be able to advocate to a broader audience when some of my impact-focused donations are more legible and relatable.

Also at GWWC we budget salaries at the full amount (calculated by a formula) as any salary sacrifices as donations ... (read more)

P.S. I always love how quickly you turn things into polls. Find it pretty interesting to get a more granular and clustering view of what people thing that’s often not reflected by upvotes and comments.

Keep it up!

1
Nathan Young
10mo
Thanks. I hope we can polish this tool a bit and then get it in a iframe. I think we'd then get much quicker feedback.  Then ideally it would get better at finding disagreement and building concensus.

This is pretty useful thanks! Have bookmarked 😀 

I can imagine myself opening this up myself and sharing it a bunch!

3
mariekedev
10mo
Thanks Luke! I'm glad you and others found it useful and I'm honored that you even bookmarked it!
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