PredictivePatterns

Independent analyst (authority and decision systems) @ Independent
0 karmaJoined Working (15+ years)United Kingdom

Bio

I’m interested in how human behaviour and institutional decisions are shaped by the use of interacting underlying tools, including authority, time, language, and social group structures, and how different configurations of these tools influence outcomes.

I explore whether these patterns can help explain and predict how complex decisions resolve in practice.

My thinking is influenced by complexity theory and cybernetics, particularly feedback processes in organisations, including the work of Stafford Beer and Ross Ashby.

More broadly, I’m interested in how individuals develop decision-making frameworks that clarify responsibility and improve understanding of potential outcomes in high-stakes systems.

How others can help me

I’m interested in feedback on frameworks for analysing institutional and individual decision-making, especially where they aim to explain or predict outcomes. I’d also value pointers to related work in forecasting, governance, or systems theory that approaches similar problems from different angles.

How I can help others

I’m happy to offer structured analysis of decision-making problems, particularly where outcomes seem unclear or contested. I’m especially interested in mapping how different sources of authority, responsibility, and information interact in complex systems.