Thank you!

Agree re: context behind numbers. Great idea on hiring forecasters for rationale reports - I would love to see what base rates a top forecaster used to arrive a prediction, for example.

Generally, I think there needs to be more forecasting content, and not just in text format.

(Also I'm highlighting when a news story precedes a change in the numbers, e.g. "🚨 odds of Chinese involvement 2x after position paper!")

• Good ideas re sponsorship with eg quants, or partnership with prediction markets. I think a few months of good traffic will unlock opportunities
• I will launch a Patreon along with the AI dashboard later this month

Appreciate your support~

Thank you. Yes, I include Metaculus, GJ Open, etc. Also any forecasts made by top groups like Samotsvety, the Swift Centre, publicly available Superforecasts, etc.

Thanks Misha! I've applied for the Long-Term Future Fund now🤞

Appreciate your suggestions:

• Good idea on the social media previews! I couldn't figure how to do this in a dynamic way quickly, but I've added it to my to do list
• Right now forecast links look like the screengrab below. Just to be clear, you're saying maybe instead it should look like eg: [Metaculus] Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?

love the idea of a hackathon for forecasting

btw your website is so aesthetic, i love the text effects~