I'd like to start giving people the option of commenting on shorter Cold Takes pieces (which I don't cross-post here or provide audio for). I'm going to use this post for that: I will generally leave a comment for each piece, and people can leave their comments as replies to that.
I set up a prediction market for this bet! https://mantic.markets/AustinChen/will-at-least-75-of-the-usa-covid19
Also, this paragraph from Holden really resonated with me:
What kind of tools, sites, or economic structures could enable this ideal world? At Mantic we're hoping accessible, user-created prediction markets will do the trick, but would love to hear alternative proposals!