Many people associated with the effective altruism world believe that AI safety research is very valuable. But, there must be good work written on the other side of that debate! So, my question is: what are the best arguments that AI risks are overblown or that AI safety research should not be prioritized? I would prefer links to existing work, but if you feel like writing an essay in the comments I'm not going to stop you.
Another question here seems related, but is not asking the same thing: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/u3ePLsbtpkmFdD7Nb/how-much-ea-analysis-of-ai-safety-as-a-cause-area-exists-1
Alignment by default: if we have very strong reasons to expect that the methods that are best suited for ensuring that AI is aligned are the same as the methods that are best suited for ensuring that we have AI that is capable enough to understand what we want and act on it, in the first place.
To the extent that alignment by default is likely we don't need a special effort to be put into AI safety because we can assume that the economic incentives will be such that we will put as much effort into AI safety as is needed, and if we don't put the sufficient effort into AI safety, we won't have capable AI or transformative AI anyway
Stuart Russell talks about this as a real possibility but see also, https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Nwgdq6kHke5LY692J/alignment-by-default