Governments and other influential institutions often have to make extremely high-stakes decisions, depending on the judgement of a few key people. We know that human judgement and decision-making is far from perfect — but research suggest that practices like calibration training and making explicit forecasts may lead to substantial improvements.
In this talk from EA Global: London 2017, Jess Whittlestone discusses why improving institutional decision-making could be a high-impact cause area worth more attention in EA, and some avenues in this space that seem promising. She also raises some uncertainties about doing this kind of work, and questions for further exploration.
In the future, we plan to post a transcript for this talk, but we haven't created one yet. If you'd like to create a transcript for this talk, contact Aaron Gertler — he can help you get started.