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This post is co-authored with Ben Garfinkel. It is cross-posted from the CEA blog. A PDF version can be found here.
Summary: Some strategic decisions available to the effective altruism m...
If AGI without crypto → survival probability X, and with crypto → X - e, how big is "e"?
I've searched extensively. No Fermi estimates exist. No timeline models include crypto as a variable.
Has anyone modeled the net effect?
14 years crypto experience, weighing career decisions.