How I forecasted Ukraine - [A superforecaster or equiv, eg David Manheim, Nuno Sempere] - longform talk

It would be good to hear how a great forecaster made decisions on some important issue.

A podcast guest of Spencer's Choice - Spencer Greenberg - live podcast recording

A live recording of the Clearer Thinking podcast. It's not particularly neglected (Spencer would do it anyway) but it would be fun.

Here are all the questions in this series:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/WQTEuxkXyCy9QFJCb/what-eag-sessions-would-you-like-to-see-on-meta-ea

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Nq3bbFjKjs5jPZnou/what-eag-sessions-would-you-like-to-see-on-global-priorities

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/iQWfeoXFebrEBh4qq/what-eag-sessions-would-you-like-to-see-on-horizon-scanning

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/AKBong8tuK65MWGjd/what-eag-sessions-would-you-like-on-global-catastrophic

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/AfmoMv8ixtFGhemnH/what-eag-sessions-would-you-like-to-attend-on-biorisk

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6Qw3JvEDkAzmaqpTK/what-eag-sessions-would-you-like-on-ai

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rpNwa94ep3jEyFSDB/what-eag-sessions-would-you-like-on-epistemics

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wAJ4tLbTuhaoYN7Py/what-eag-sessions-would-you-like-on-animal-welfare