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Gruetzemacher, Ross et al. (2020) Forecasting AI progress: a research agenda, ArXiv:arXiv:2008.01848 [Cs].
AI Forecasting Dictionary. A set of standards and conventions for precisely interpreting AI and auxiliary terms.
AI timelines. List of publications by AI Impacts.
Cotra, Ajeya (2020) [1]Draft report on AI timelines, LessWrong, September 18.
Davidson, Tom (2021) Semi-informative priors over AI timelines, Open Philanthropy, March 25.
Gruetzemacher, Ross et al. (2020) Forecasting AI progress: a research agenda, ArXiv:2008.01848 [Cs].
Koehler, Arden, Robert Wiblin & Keiran Harris (2020) Danny Hernandez on forecasting and the drivers of AI progress, 80,000 Hours, May 22.
Wiblin, Robert & Keiran Harris (2018) How well can we actually predict the future? Katja Grace on why expert opinion isn’t a great guide to AI’s impact and how to do better, 80,000 Hours, August 21.
AiAI timelines available at the. List of publications by AI Impacts website..
Muehlhauser, Luke (2015) What do we know about AI timelines?, Open Philanthropy, October (updated July 2016).
AI forecasting is the process of trying to predict a variety of outcomes related to AI, such as when human-level AI will emerge (AI timelines) and what impacts it will have (Muehlhauser 2015) .have.[1]
Muehlhauser, Luke (2015) What do we know about AI timelines?, Open Philanthropy, October (updated July 2016).
Muehlhauser, Luke (2015) What do we know about AI timelines?, Open Philanthropy, October (updated July 2016).
AI forecasting is the process of trying to predict a variety of outcomes related to AI, such as when human-level AI will emerge (AI timelines) and what impacts it will have (Muehlhauser 2016)2015) .
Muehlhauser, Luke (2015) What do we know about AI timelines?, Open Philanthropy, October (updated July 2016).
Ai timelines available at the AI Impacts website.
Bibliography:
External Links:
AI forecasting includesis the process of trying to predict a variety of outcomes related to AI, such as when human-level AI will emerge (AI timelines) and what impacts it will have.have (Muehlhauser 2016) .
Bibliography:
External Links:
AI governance | AI alignment | AI Impacts | estimation of existential risk | forecasting |
governance of artificial intelligence|long-range forecasting | quantum computing | tabletop exercises