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Effective Altruism Forum
Estimating value
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Estimating value
129
Shapley values: Better than counterfactuals
NunoSempere
3y
35
34
Shapley Values II: Philantropic Coordination Theory & other miscellanea.
NunoSempere
3y
1
62
Predicting the Value of Small Altruistic Projects: A Proof of Concept Experiment.
NunoSempere
2y
3
57
An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work
NunoSempere
2y
23
81
Relative Impact of the First 10 EA Forum Prize Winners
NunoSempere
2y
35
197
2018-2019 Long-Term Future Fund Grantees: How did they do?
NunoSempere
2y
23
191
Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations
NunoSempere
2y
34
46
An estimate of the value of Metaculus questions
NunoSempere
1y
19
77
External Evaluation of the EA Wiki
NunoSempere
1y
18
45
Simple comparison polling to create utility functions
NunoSempere
1y
13
91
Five steps for quantifying speculative interventions
NunoSempere
1y
8
109
Valuing research works by eliciting comparisons from EA researchers
NunoSempere
1y
20
297
A Critical Review of Open Philanthropy’s Bet On Criminal Justice Reform
NunoSempere
8mo
99
45
Introduction to Fermi estimates
NunoSempere
5mo
5
112
An experiment eliciting relative estimates for Open Philanthropy’s 2018 AI safety grants
NunoSempere
5mo
13
52
Simple estimation examples in Squiggle
NunoSempere
5mo
13
30
Five slightly more hardcore Squiggle models.
NunoSempere
4mo
0