Effective Altruism ForumEstimating value
EA Forum

Estimating value

152

Shapley values: Better than counterfactuals

· 5y ago · 18m read

35

Shapley Values II: Philantropic Coordination Theory & other miscellanea.

· 5y ago · 35m read

62

Predicting the Value of Small Altruistic Projects: A Proof of Concept Experiment.

· 4y ago · 14m read

57

An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work

· 4y ago · 12m read

88

Relative Impact of the First 10 EA Forum Prize Winners

· 4y ago · 22m read

194

2018-2019 Long-Term Future Fund Grantees: How did they do?

· 3y ago · 5m read

192

Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations

· 3y ago · 40m read

45

An estimate of the value of Metaculus questions

· 3y ago · 10m read

78

External Evaluation of the EA Wiki

· 3y ago · 23m read

46

Simple comparison polling to create utility functions

· 3y ago · 7m read

94

Five steps for quantifying speculative interventions

· 3y ago · 15m read

114

Valuing research works by eliciting comparisons from EA researchers

· 3y ago · 10m read

302

A Critical Review of Open Philanthropy’s Bet On Criminal Justice Reform

· 2y ago · 31m read

47

Introduction to Fermi estimates

· 2y ago · 8m read

111

An experiment eliciting relative estimates for Open Philanthropy’s 2018 AI safety grants

· 2y ago · 16m read

52

Simple estimation examples in Squiggle

· 2y ago · 8m read

33

Five slightly more hardcore Squiggle models.

· 2y ago · 8m read

81

Brief evaluations of top-10 billionnaires

· 2y ago · 7m read

435

My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence.

· 2y ago · 17m read

17

Use of “I’d bet” on the EA Forum is mostly metaphorical

· 2y ago · 1m read

64

Estimation for sanity checks

· 2y ago · 4m read

25

Some estimation work in the horizon

· 2y ago · 5m read