Effective Altruism ForumEstimating value
EA Forum

Estimating value

130

Shapley values: Better than counterfactuals

· 4y ago · 16m read

34

Shapley Values II: Philantropic Coordination Theory & other miscellanea.

· 3y ago · 35m read

62

Predicting the Value of Small Altruistic Projects: A Proof of Concept Experiment.

· 3y ago · 14m read

57

An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work

· 3y ago · 12m read

81

Relative Impact of the First 10 EA Forum Prize Winners

· 2y ago · 22m read

197

2018-2019 Long-Term Future Fund Grantees: How did they do?

· 2y ago · 6m read

191

Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations

· 2y ago · 41m read

47

An estimate of the value of Metaculus questions

· 2y ago · 10m read

78

External Evaluation of the EA Wiki

· 1y ago · 24m read

45

Simple comparison polling to create utility functions

· 2y ago · 7m read

91

Five steps for quantifying speculative interventions

· 1y ago · 14m read

109

Valuing research works by eliciting comparisons from EA researchers

· 1y ago · 10m read

302

A Critical Review of Open Philanthropy’s Bet On Criminal Justice Reform

· 1y ago · 31m read

46

Introduction to Fermi estimates

· 9mo ago · 7m read

111

An experiment eliciting relative estimates for Open Philanthropy’s 2018 AI safety grants

· 9mo ago · 15m read

52

Simple estimation examples in Squiggle

· 9mo ago · 7m read

30

Five slightly more hardcore Squiggle models.

· 8mo ago · 8m read

79

Brief evaluations of top-10 billionnaires

· 7mo ago · 7m read

432

My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence.

· 4mo ago · 17m read

9

Use of “I’d bet” on the EA Forum is mostly metaphorical

· 3mo ago · 1m read

58

Estimation for sanity checks

· 2mo ago · 4m read

25

Some estimation work in the horizon

· 2mo ago · 5m read