NunoSempere

I studied Maths and Philosophy. I have helped implement the European Summer Program on Rationality during 2017, 2018 and 2019, and SPARC during 2020.

I prefer to spend most of my time acquiring deeper models of things, as opposed to hacking metrics. I keep a record of interesting projects at nunosempere.github.io. I've also sold software and worked as a contractor for diverse forecasting projects.

Future of Humanity Institute 2020 Summer Research Fellow.

NunoSempere's Comments

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA
  • If you look at your forecasting mistakes, do they have a common thread?
  • How is your experience acquiring expertise at forecasting similar/different to acquiring expertise in other domains, e.g. obscure board-games? How so?
  • Any forecasting ressources you recommend?
  • Who do you look up to?
  • How does the distribution skill / hours of effort look for forecasting for you?
  • Do you want to wax poetically or ramble disorganizedly about any aspects of forecasting?
  • Any secrets of reality you've discovered & which you'd like to share?
I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

Hi Linch! So what's up with the Utilitarian Memes page? Can you tell more about it? Any deep lessons from utilitarian memes?

Problem areas beyond 80,000 Hours' current priorities

India v. China conflict is perhaps more immediately worrying than US v. China.

effektiv-spenden.org: 2019 - Year in Review

Have you considered moving into Austria as well?

Forum update: Tags are live! Go use them!

I, too, would be curious about how to create a sequence.

A glowing review of two free online MIT Global Poverty courses

On the clarifications: The tests are automatically graded. Also, I think I meant two courses simultaneously.

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