A donor lottery is an arrangement where multiple prospective donors each contribute to a common pot in exchange for a chance, proportional to the size of the contribution, to win the right to decide how the pot is spent.


The concept of a donor lottery was first explicitly described by Carl Shulman in 2016,[1][2] as a development and refinement of some previous ideas by the author.[3] The first donor lottery was run in early 2017, by Shulman and Paul Christiano.[4]  Many lotteries have taken place since then, and some of the winners have written detailed reports of the process they followed for allocating the funding pool.[5][6][7][8]  Currently, donor lotteries are run by Effective Altruism Funds and held at least once per year. The most recent lottery ran in mid-2021, and the chosen donor won the right to allocate $500,000.[9] The most recent donor lottery was drawn on 24 January 2022.[10]


At its core, a donor lottery is a method for exploiting situations where there are increasing marginal returns to donation: the lottery converts a small budget into a small chance of winning a budget large enough to take advantage of economies of scale.

For illustration, consider an effective altruist who, instead of donating $1,000, buys a 1% chance of directing $100,000 to their chosen charity. Entering this lottery provides two distinct benefits. First, it cuts down research costs per expected dollar donated by a factor of 100, since researching donation alternatives becomes necessary only in the winning scenario. Second, it allows the altruist to fund projects whose minimum funding size exceeds their charitable budget.

In principle, someone persuaded that they could do more good in expectation with a small chance of a correspondingly larger donation could realize these gains by high-stakes gambling or high-risk investment. In practice, the associated overhead and transaction costs typically make donor lotteries a more attractive alternative.[1]

Further reading

Hoffman, Ben (2016) Claim explainer: donor lotteries and returns to scale, Arbital, December 30.

Effective Altruism Funds Donor Lottery.

donation choice | donation writeup | effective altruism funding | effective giving | philanthropic coordination

  1. ^

    Shulman, Carl (2016) Creating a donor-advised fund lottery, Reflective Disequilibrium, March 27.

  2. ^

    Shulman, Carl (2016) Donor lotteries: demonstration and FAQ, Effective Altruism Forum, December 7.

  3. ^
  4. ^

    Christiano, Paul (2017) Donor lottery details, Effective Altruism Forum, January 10.

  5. ^

    Gleave, Adam (2018) 2017 donor lottery report, Effective Altruism Forum, November 12.

  6. ^

    Rheingans-Yoo, Ross (2020) 2018-19 Donor Lottery Report, pt. 1, Effective Altruism Forum, December 13.

  7. ^

    Rheingans-Yoo, Ross (2020) 2018-19 Donor Lottery Report, pt. 2, Effective Altruism Forum, December 14.

  8. ^

    Telleen-Lawton, Timothy (2020) Donor lottery debrief, Effective Altruism Forum, August 4.

  9. ^

    Brinich-Langlois, Patrick (2021) What would you do if you had half a million dollars?, Effective Altruism Forum, July 14.

  10. ^

    Deere, Sam (2021) The 2021 EA Funds Donor Lottery is now open, Effective Altruism Forum, November 29.