jungofthewon

coo @ ought.org

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Longtermist EA needs more Phase 2 work

I have been ruminating about this issue within EA for ages

 

You spent too much time in Phase 1 :P 

Longtermist EA needs more Phase 2 work

+1, generally excited about recent EA momentum towards doing the thing.

Unsurprisingly, I see Elicit as Phase 2 work and am excited for more Phase 2 work. 

Notes on "Managing to Change the World"

Update after reading the rest of it: I actually agree with this so much that I think this can replace large parts of the "user guide" that I aspired to write one day. Thanks for saving me so much time!

Notes on "Managing to Change the World"

This was great, thanks for taking the time to write this up.

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

https://elicit.ought.org/builder/RT9kxWoF9 My distribution! Good question Linch; it had a fun mix of investigative LinkedIn sleuthing + decomposition + reasoning about Linch + thoughts that I could sense others might disagree with.

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

I'll make a distribution. Do you want to make a distribution too and then we can compare?

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

Non-forecasting question: have you ever felt like an outsider in any of the communities you consider yourself to be a part of?

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

Which types of forecasting questions do you like / dislike more?

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

I will forecast a personal question for you e.g. "How many new friends will I make this year?" What do you want to ask me?

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