jungofthewon

coo @ ought.org

Comments

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

https://elicit.ought.org/builder/RT9kxWoF9 My distribution! Good question Linch; it had a fun mix of investigative LinkedIn sleuthing + decomposition + reasoning about Linch + thoughts that I could sense others might disagree with.

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

I'll make a distribution. Do you want to make a distribution too and then we can compare?

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

Non-forecasting question: have you ever felt like an outsider in any of the communities you consider yourself to be a part of?

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

Which types of forecasting questions do you like / dislike more?

I'm Linch Zhang, an amateur COVID-19 forecaster and generalist EA. AMA

I will forecast a personal question for you e.g. "How many new friends will I make this year?" What do you want to ask me?

Racial Demographics at Longtermist Organizations

Thanks so much for doing this work! I'm pretty excited about making progress on this. If others want to collaborate, please ping jungwon@ought.org.

Dataset of Trillion Dollar figures

Also like this idea! Confused about Moody's revenue - it's $1T? Is it not ~ $4.2BN with 12,000 employees (as opposed to 1,300)?

Ought: why it matters and ways to help

Thanks for this post, Paul.

NOTE: Response to this post has been even greater than we expected. We received more applications for experiment participant than we currently have the capacity to manage so we are temporarily taking the posting down. If you've applied and don't hear from us for a while, please excuse the delay! Thanks everyone who has expressed interest - we're hoping to get back to you and work with you soon.