TL;DR
NOVAH (No Violence At Home) was incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship (now Ambitious Impact) in 2024 to test a promising idea: preventing intimate partner violence through edutainment, in our case a serialised radio drama. Over the past two years we have produced and aired two seasons in Rwanda.
We are currently evaluating our second season through a randomized controlled trial with 2,400 couples in Rwanda in partnership wi...
This summer, 27 residents came to Berkeley for the first cohort of the Generator Residency, a three-month program for AI safety generalists run by Kairos and Constellation.
Residents receive mentorship from experienced generalists and researchers and are working on projects like running workshops for professionals entering AI safety, building a cross-org...
Summary
1. With new funding potentially entering the effective altruism ecosystem, we wanted to estimate how much more the wild animal welfare (WAW) movement could productively absorb. We asked organizations with a public, dedicated WAW workstream to estimate their own room for more funding (RFMF). Although this does not capture the whole movement, we believe it captures a substantive fraction of it.
2. Summed across the five organizations that took part, the estimates point to...
+1
(consider renaming to "Ajeya's TAI median timeline [...]", or to "Ajeya's TAI median timeline shortened from 2050 to 2040 (~15% probability by 2030)", or something like that, to avoid the impression they think we're ok until 2040)
The original title included "median," but I removed it because it made the title so long that "2040" and the paperclip icon didn't fit on the frontpage (where titles are limited to a single line)! I thought "2040" and the link were more important than "median," so I settled for "median" in the body only.