Infinite Canvases: a collection of collaborative visual modelling apps where you can lay out ideas on an infinite canvas.
Name of Tool | Text tutorial | Video Tutorial | Twitter Thread |
Manifold Markets | Official documentation, wiki page | Loom | WIP |
Metaculus | Official tutorials | WIP | |
Visualisation of Probability Mass | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | |
Click and Drag Probability Elicitation | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Guesstimate | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle Components | Official documentation | N/A | |
Excalidraw | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | |
Loom | Forum post (WIP) | Basic, Broader | WIP |
Pol.is | Worked example | WIP | WIP |
Pastcasting | Official FAQ | Loom | WIP |
Causal.app | Forum post (WIP) | Quickstart | WIP |
Confido |
Name of Tool | Text tutorial | Video Tutorial | Twitter Thread |
Manifold Markets | Official documentation, wiki page | Loom | WIP |
Metaculus | Official tutorials | WIP | WIP |
Visualisation of Probability Mass | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Click and Drag Probability Elicitation | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Guesstimate | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle Components | Official documentation | N/A | WIP |
Excalidraw | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Loom | Forum post (WIP) | Basic, Broader | WIP |
Pol.is | Worked example | WIP | WIP |
Pastcasting | Official FAQ | Loom | WIP |
Forum post (WIP) | WIP | ||
Elicit | Youtube | WIP | |
Confido |
Name of Tool | Text tutorial | Video Tutorial | Twitter Thread |
Manifold Markets | Official documentation, wiki page | Loom | WIP |
Metaculus | Official tutorials | WIP | WIP |
Visualisation of Probability Mass | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Click and Drag Probability Elicitation | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Guesstimate | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle Components | Official documentation | N/A | WIP |
Google Sheets | WIP | WIP | WIP |
Google Drawing | WIP | WIP | WIP |
Excalidraw | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Loom | Forum post (WIP) | Basic, Broader | WIP |
Pol.is | Worked example | WIP | WIP |
Pastcasting | Official FAQ | WIP | |
Vodle | Official tutorial | WIP | WIP |
Guesstimate: a tool for spreadsheet or logic model creation with uncertainty. Main wiki page.
Google Sheets: a collaborative spreadsheet creator integrated with google drive/docs.
Infinite Canvases: a platform for buildingcollection of collaborative visual modelling apps; several such apps already available.where you can lay out ideas on an infinite canvas.
Pastcasting (sage)Sage): A forecasting platform using resolved questions from other sites (e.g. Metaculus) to shorten the feedback loop and practice forecasting, particularly over long time horizons.
Pastcasting (sage): A forecasting platform using resolved questions from other sites (e.g. Metaculus) to shorten the feedback loop and practice forecasting, particularly over long time horizons.
Vodle: A collective decision making platform where participants can vote on questions using a voting system that is fairer than majority voting and more efficient than traditional consensus procedures.
Name of Tool | Text tutorial | Video Tutorial | Twitter Thread |
Manifold Markets | Official documentation, wiki page | Loom | WIP |
Metaculus | Official tutorials | WIP | WIP |
Visualisation of Probability Mass | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Click and Drag Probability Elicitation | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Guesstimate | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle Components | Official documentation | N/A | WIP |
Google Sheets | WIP | WIP | WIP |
Google Drawing | WIP | WIP | WIP |
Excalidraw | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Loom | Forum post (WIP) | Basic, Broader | WIP |
Pol.is | Worked example | WIP | WIP |
Pastcasting | Official FAQ | WIP | WIP |
Vodle | Official tutorial | WIP | WIP |
Name of Tool | Text tutorial | Video Tutorial | Twitter Thread |
Manifold Markets | Official documentation, wiki page | WIP | |
Metaculus | Official tutorials | WIP | WIP |
Visualisation of Probability Mass | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Click and Drag Probability Elicitation | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Guesstimate | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle Components | Official documentation | N/A | WIP |
Google Sheets | WIP | WIP | WIP |
Google Drawing | WIP | WIP | WIP |
Excalidraw | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Loom | Forum post (WIP) | Basic, Broader | WIP |
Pol.is | Worked example | WIP | WIP |
Pastcasting | Official FAQ | WIP | WIP |
Excalidraw: a collaborative shared whiteboard for text and sketching. Good for logic models.models.
Name of Tool | Text tutorial | Video Tutorial | Twitter Thread |
Manifold Markets | Official documentation, wiki page | WIP | WIP |
Metaculus | Official tutorials | WIP | WIP |
Visualisation of Probability Mass | WIP | WIP | |
Click and Drag Probability Elicitation | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Guesstimate | Forum post (WIP) | Loom | WIP |
Squiggle | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | |
Squiggle Components | Official documentation | WIP | |
Google Sheets | WIP | WIP | WIP |
Google Drawing | WIP | WIP | WIP |
Excalidraw | Forum post (WIP) | WIP | WIP |
Loom | Forum post (WIP) | Basic, Broader | WIP |
Pol.is | Worked example | WIP | WIP |
Pastcasting | Official FAQ | WIP | WIP |
Plans: Each tool will have a description, a link to a video / text tutorial, and a link to a twitter thread.