Tools for collaborative truth-seeking

Plans: Each tool will have a description, a link to a video / text tutorial, and a link to a twitter thread. 

Applied to Loom: Why and How to use it 4mo ago

Infinite Canvases: a collection of collaborative visual modelling apps where you can lay out ideas on an infinite canvas. 

Name of ToolText tutorialVideo TutorialTwitter Thread
Manifold MarketsOfficial documentation, wiki pageLoomWIP
MetaculusOfficial tutorialsWIPLoomWIP
Visualisation of Probability MassForum post (WIP)WIPN/AWIP
Click and Drag Probability ElicitationForum post (WIP)LoomWIP
GuesstimateForum post (WIP)LoomWIP
SquiggleForum post (WIP)LoomWIP
Squiggle ComponentsOfficial documentationN/AWIPN/A
ExcalidrawForum post (WIP)WIPLoomWIP
LoomForum post (WIP)Basic, BroaderWIP
Pol.isWorked exampleWIPWIP
Pastcasting  Official FAQLoomWIP
Causal.appForum post (WIP)Quickstart WIP
Elicit YoutubeWIP
Confido   

Guesstimate: a tool for spreadsheet or logic model creation with uncertainty. Main wiki page

Google Sheets: a collaborative spreadsheet creator integrated with google drive/docs.

Infinite Canvases: a platform for buildingcollection of collaborative visual modelling apps; several such apps already available.where you can lay out ideas on an infinite canvas. 

Pastcasting (sage)Sage): A forecasting platform using resolved questions from other sites (e.g. Metaculus) to shorten the feedback loop and practice forecasting, particularly over long time horizons.

Pastcasting (sage): A forecasting platform using resolved questions from other sites (e.g. Metaculus) to shorten the feedback loop and practice forecasting, particularly over long time horizons.

Vodle: A collective decision making platform where participants can vote on questions using a voting system that is fairer than majority voting and more efficient than traditional consensus procedures.

Name of ToolText tutorialVideo TutorialTwitter Thread
Manifold MarketsOfficial documentation, wiki pageLoomWIP
MetaculusOfficial tutorialsWIPWIP
Visualisation of Probability MassForum post (WIP)WIPWIP
Click and Drag Probability ElicitationForum post (WIP)LoomWIP
GuesstimateForum post (WIP)LoomWIP
SquiggleForum post (WIP)LoomWIP
Squiggle ComponentsOfficial documentationN/AWIP
Google SheetsWIPWIPWIP
Google DrawingWIPWIPWIP
ExcalidrawForum post (WIP)WIPWIP
LoomForum post (WIP)Basic, BroaderWIP
Pol.isWorked exampleWIPWIP
Pastcasting  Official FAQWIPWIP
VodleOfficial tutorialWIPWIP

Table ofExternal links

Excalidraw: a collaborative shared whiteboard for text and sketching. Good for logic models.models.

Name of ToolText tutorialVideo TutorialTwitter Thread
Manifold MarketsOfficial documentation, wiki pageWIPWIP
MetaculusOfficial tutorialsWIPWIP
Visualisation of Probability MassSelf-explanatoryForum post (WIP)WIPWIP
Click and Drag Probability ElicitationForum post (WIP)LoomWIP
GuesstimateForum post (WIP)LoomWIP
SquiggleForum post (WIP)WIPLoomWIP
Squiggle ComponentsOfficial documentationWIPN/AWIP
Google SheetsWIPWIPWIP
Google DrawingWIPWIPWIP
ExcalidrawForum post (WIP)WIPWIP
LoomForum post (WIP)Basic, BroaderWIP
Pol.isWorked exampleWIPWIP
Pastcasting  Official FAQWIPWIP