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Samotsvety Forecasting

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Samotsvety Forecasting
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4elifland
2Lizka
Parent Topic: Forecasting & Estimation

Samotsvety Forecasting is a forecasting group started primarily by Misha Yagudin, Nuño Sempere, and Eli Lifland. Their track record can be found here.

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Posts tagged Samotsvety Forecasting
Most Relevant
4
262Samotsvety Nuclear Risk update October 2022
NunoSempere, Misha_Yagudin
4mo
52
3
100Update to Samotsvety AGI timelines
Misha_Yagudin, JonathanMann, NunoSempere
6d
8
2
371My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence.
NunoSempere
6d
103
2
346My take on What We Owe the Future
elifland
5mo
51
2
163Samotsvety's AI risk forecasts
elifland, Misha_Yagudin
5mo
30
2
155Samotsvety Nuclear Risk Forecasts — March 2022
NunoSempere, Misha_Yagudin, elifland
1y
54
2
128Nuclear Expert Comment on Samotsvety Nuclear Risk Forecast
Jhrosenberg
10mo
13
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