Ah I'm sorry, I only scanned the post and missed your sentence at the top. Thanks!
Re Rafaels' conclusion the takeaways:
"Much of Kat and Emerson’s effective altruist work focuses on mentoring young effective altruists and incubating organizations. I believe the balance of the evidence—much of it from their own defense of their actions—shows that they are hilariously ill-suited for that job."
I don't think that the recent posts give a balanced view of their work (e.g. I haven't seen any section anywhere titled 'Positive things Nonlinear did/achieved'). I don't think there is enough information to judge to what extent they are suitable for their mentoring/incubating job.
In an attempt to bring in some balancing anecdote, I personally have had positive experiences doing regular coaching calls with Kat over the past year and feel that her input has been very helpful.
Thanks for making this series! I added it to this oversight of project ideas Impactful Projects and Organizations to Start - List of Lists.
Commenting here because I thought it might be useful to know this list of lists exists for those who are drawn to this post.
Congrats Brad! I'll watch this tonightI wanted to link this post here in case someone who might benefit from it might see it here: How to get EA ideas onto the TEDx stage
To share some anecdotal data: I personally have had positive experiences doing regular coaching calls with Kat this year and feel that her input has been very helpful.
I would encourage us all to put off updating until we also get the second side of the story - that generally seems like good practice to me whenever it is possible.
Thanks for the post!
A related question: Is LTFF more likely to fund a small AI safety research group than to fund individual independent AI Safety researchers?
So could we see a scenario where, if person A, B or C apply individually for an independent research grant, they might not meet your funding bar. But where, if similarly impressive people with a similarly good research agenda applied as a research group, they would be a more attractive funding opportunity for you?
Thanks for publishing this! I added it to this list of impactful org/project ideas