Brazilian legal philosopher, postdoc in intergenerational justice, financial supervisor, GWWC Pledger Bachelor of Laws, Master and Doctor of Philosophy from the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS), having published articles and translations in the areas of Political Philosophy, Applied Ethics and Philosophy of Economics – with a recent focus on climate risks, Environmental and Social Responsibility, and intergenerational justice. Post-Doctoral Researcher at the Institute of Philosophy, Faculty of Social and Human Sciences, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, integrating the Ethics and Political Philosophy Laboratory (EPLAB) and the project Present Democracy for Future Generations. Also a member of the Graduate Committee and Special Studies Analyst in the area of supervision of non-banking institutions at the Central Bank of Brazil (BCB). Member of the Inclusive and Sustainable Solutions association (SIS) and of the Effective Altruism community in Brazil (AE Brasil). https://philpeople.org/profiles/ramiro-avila-peres
All my public forum posts must be considered as under CC-BY license
Suggestions of new cause areas: let's pay people so that every podcast episode is shorter than 40min, every pdf book is compressed to a file as light as possible, and every EA thinks twice before spending their day on EA-Meta and EA criticism.
Adding a new layer to your confusion: since most of the lives in question are probably newborns (as most of the mortality is captured by neonatal disorders), and since the time lag between one's specific donation and its corresponding effects is likely more than 9 months, this means that one's donation will probably impact the identity of the affected kids. If for some reason (e.g., non-identity problem) one believes that helping existing people is more important than helping future people, then this counts against donating to clean water projects.
(I totally disagree with this, ofc)
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Thanks for this.
I have seen many informative comments here, especially on the stats of the paper...
Let's suppose your postulated "30% all mortality reduction" effect is real; on your figure on GBD cause of deaths above "neonatal disorders" occupy almost the same area. So, if such an effect is real, it likely has to affect neonatal disorders - i.e., preterm birth complications, neonatal encephalopathy due to birth asphyxia and trauma, neonatal sepsis and other neonatal infections, haemolytic disease and other neonatal jaundice, and other neonatal disorders.
What would cause an effect on neonatal disorders? Weel, I wonder if many of such "neonatal infections" are not caused by enteric pathogens - or other agents that will be affected by water treatment in general (see here and this). Besides that, diarrohea might affect the mother's health and birth weight, etc.
BTW look at this interesting Lancet case-control study (Levine et al., 2020) funded by Gates & Gates Foundation that follows children with mild and moderate-to-severe diarrhoea that seeked health care, concluding that even mild enteric infections (which might not show up as a factor in GBD) increased the risk of death overall.
Still, I wonder why clean water is not a priority for WHO and World bank (at least according to Kremer's paper). Maybe other interventions have similarly surprising spillover effects - i.e., perhaps Malaria prevention and de-worming affect neonatal deaths, too (I'd have to check their own spreadsheets to see this).
Come to Brazil. We can make room for +1bi individuals, easy. With nuclear winter, we may even manage to get some ski resorts ;)
(Ofc if we don't start a war w Argentina. That's the problem w South America)
Thanks. D'you have all the CURVE posts published as some sort of ebook somewhere? That would be helpful