The Progress Open Thread is a place to share good news, big or small.
See this post for an explanation of why we have these threads.
What goes in a progress thread comment?
Think of this as an org update thread for individuals. You might talk about...
- Securing a new job, internship, grant, or scholarship
- Starting or making progress on a personal project
- Helping someone else get involved in EA
- Making a donation you feel really excited about
- Taking the Giving What We Can pledge or signing up for Try Giving
- Writing something you liked outside the Forum (whether it's a paper you've submitted to a journal or just an insightful Facebook comment)
- Any of the above happening to someone else, if you think they'd be happy for you to share the news
- Other EA-related progress in the world (disease eradication, cage-free laws, cool new research papers, etc.)
Good question. Of the binary questions which I've predicted and have resolved, 0/10 (!). But 7 were about US-China relations, so you'd expect them to be somewhat correlated. Some of them also seemed like they could have happened, like Microsoft's acquisition of TikTok, or European countries restricting Huawai. So, overall, my gut tells me I'd expect about 10-20% to resolve positively in the future. Note that binary questions (as opposed to questions which ask about different ranges) are relatively scarce; there are 29 questions open right now of which only 4 are binary.