I think there is a small but non-trivial chance I can get the community notes team to make it much easier to reference prediction markets.
Is this a good idea?
- Prediction markets have good incentives towards accuracy
- It's a change to a huge information ecosystem. In general I think that massive changes run on the back of Nathan has a good idea are unwise.
I'd value comments on this doc https://docs.google.com/document/d/1dsOKcn7rZhFa3yDC83IWASKtiwRAoF-xmjbCLesgySo/edit
Thanks for your time.