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The ACX 2024 Prediction Contest is open!
Scott Alexander's annual tradition of predicting the upcoming year has evolved into a full forecasting contest. For 2024, he invited Metaculus to host the competition. Kick off the new year forecasting on questions like:
- Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?
- Which party will win the 2024 US presidential election?
- Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
- Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
Metaculus will take a snapshot of forecasters' predictions as of January 21st, 11:59 PM PT, and these will determine the contest winners and the recipients of $2.5k in prizes.
Learn more and start forecasting here!