Metaculus is a reputation-based site for soliciting and aggregating predictions. It was founded in November 2015 by astrophysicist Anthony Aguirre, cosmologist Greg Laughlin and data scientist Max Wainwright.[1][2]

Further reading

Aguirre, Anthony (2021) A primer on the Metaculus scoring rule, Medium, February 27.

dan (2020) A preliminary look at Metaculus and expert forecasts, Metaculus, June 2.

Hobbhahn, Marius (2022) How good were our AI timeline predictions so far?, Metaculus, April 10.

Metaculus. Official website.

AI forecasting | forecasting | prediction markets

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    Mann, Adam (2016) The power of prediction markets, Nature, October 18.

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