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A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones.
Summary
I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed.
Epistemic status
Exploratory and back-o...
Note: This post was crossposted from Planned Obsolescence by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.
Subtitle: It’s a major warning shot, and might be the last one we get
All opinions are my personal view, and don’t represent my employer or fellow investigators.
This week, METR and Redwood Research published...
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TL;DR: Kairos has raised $50 million from Coefficient Giving for two years of funding, one of the largest commitments they’ve made towards AI safety fieldbuilding to date. We’re using this to make an ambitious push for growing Kairos, broadening our portfolio of talent infrastructure projects and incubating new organizations. We’ve doubled in size in the last six mon...
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Hi Adrian!
I’d recommend donating to the American Meat Producers Association (AMPA), an organization of family farmers who have already implemented animal welfare improvements like California’s Prop 12 and are running ad campaigns against Save Our Bacon. Among EAs I know, their intervention is considered the best for this issue.
While I haven’t seen a formal cost-effectiveness analysis, I’ve heard estimates from EAs I know of AMPA’s multiple ranging between 2x and >10x as valuable as the marginal animal welfare 501(c)3. This is partially because of the urgency around Save Our Bacon, and partially because the largest EA grantmakers are legally restricted in how much they can contribute. It is completely legal for foreign nationals to donate.
For these reasons, I’ve donated $10k to AMPA, and I’m convinced it’s an especially worthy intervention for farmed animal welfare.