AI forecasting | biosecurity | forecasting | improving institutional decision-making | policy | red teaming
Tabletop exercises are informal meetings in which members of an emergency team discuss, usually with the help of a facilitator, their individual roles and appropriate responses during an emergency situation.
Police Department (2012) What is a tabletop exercise?, University of Wisconsins-Madison, May 9.
Intelligence Rising. Official website.A strategic role-playing game meant to explore possible AI futures.
AI forecasting | biosecurity | forecasting | institutional decision-making | policy | red teaming
Ready.gov (2021) Exercises, Ready.Gov.
Ackerman, Gary & Douglas Clifford (2021) Red teaming and crisis preparedness, in Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Johnson, Leighton (2020) Security Component Fundamentals for Assessment, 2nd ed., Amsterdam: Elsevier, p. 493.
Blough, Ryan Blough (2022) Wargaming AGI development, LessWrong, March 19.
Ryan Blough (2022) Wargaming AGI Developmentdevelopment, LessWrong, March 19.
Intelligence Rising. Official website.
Wargaming AGI Development
AI forecasting | biosecurity | forecasting | institutional decision-making | policy
Other names/scopes I considered include wargaming and scenario planning.
I think tabletop exercises is better than wargaming because I think they're roughly synonymous but the latter has highly militaristic/adversarial framings, which seem important to avoid in some contexts, including with respect to some/many existential risks.
I think scenario planning is either a much larger category or just a distinct but related concept, so it seems best to have an entry/tag for tabletop exercises in particular. But perhaps we should also have one for scenario planning.
Maybe the name should be tabletop exercise, to be in accordance with standard naming conventions on the Forum?