I personally am on the side that thinks that current conclusions are probably overconfident and lacking in some very important considerations.

Can you give specifics? Any crucial considerations that EA is not considering or under-weighting?

I actually found it more persuasive that buying broilers from a reformed scenario seems to get you both a reduction in pain and a more climate-positive outcome

How did you conclude that? How are the broilers reformed to not be painful?

Wow, incredible that this has 0 agree votes and 43 disagree votes. EAs have had our brains thoroughly fried by politics. I was not expecting to agree with this but was pleasantly surprised at some good points.

Now that the election is over, I'd love to see a follow-up post on what will probably happen during the next administration, and what will be good and bad from an EA perspective.

I agree with your numbered points, especially that if your discount rate is very high, then a catastrophe that kills almost everyone is similar in badness to a catastrophe that kills everyone.

But one of the key differences between EA/LT and these fields is that we're almost the only ones who think future people are (almost) as important as present people, and that the discount rate shouldn't be very high. Under that assumption, the work done is indeed very different in what it accomplishes.

I don't know what you mean by fields only looking into regional disasters - how are you differentiating those investigations from the fields that you mention that the general public has heard of in large part because a ton of academic and governmental effort has gone into it? 

I'm skeptical that the insurance industry isn't bothering to protect against asteroids and nuclear winter just because they think the government is already handling those scenarios. For one, any event that kills all humans is uninsurable, so a profit-motivated mitigation plan will be underincentivized and ineffective. Furthermore, I don't agree that the government has any good plan to deal with x-risks. (Perhaps they have a secret, very effective, classified plan that I'm not aware of, but I doubt it.)

I went to a large event, and the organizers counted the number of attendees present and then ordered chicken for everyone's meal. Unfortunately I didn't have a chance to request a vegetarian alternative. What's the most efficient way to offset my portion of the animal welfare harm, and how much will it cost? I'm looking for information such as "XYZ is the current best charity for reducing animal suffering, and saves chickens for $xx each", but I'm open to donating to something that helps other animals - doesn't necessarily have to be chickens, if I can offset the harm more effectively or do more good per dollar elsewhere.

Humans are just lexically worth more than animals? You would torture a million puppies for a century to protect me from stubbing my toe?

Reducing animal agriculture for the benefits to humans by reducing habitat destruction is a really roundabout and ineffective way to help humans.

If you want to help humans, you should do whatever most helps humans.

If you want to protect someone from climate change, you should do whatever most effectively mitigates the effects of climate change.

If you want to help animals for the sake of helping animals, you should do that.

But you shouldn't decide that helping animals is better than helping humans on the grounds that helping animals also indirectly helps humans.

1. Animal welfare is extremely neglected compared to human philanthropy. (However, effective interventions receive only a small fraction of altruistic funding intended to help humans.)
2. I'm highly uncertain about counterfactuals and higher-order effects, such as changes in long-term human population and eating patterns due to accelerated global economic development.

Risk aversion doesn't change the best outcome from donating to a single charity to splitting your donation, once you account for the fact that many other people are already donating to both charities.

Given that both orgs already have many other donors, the best action for you to take is to give all of your donations to just one of the options (unless you are a very large donor).